Fox News--Diff. Landfall Poss.

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sunnyday
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Fox News--Diff. Landfall Poss.

#1 Postby sunnyday » Sun Aug 27, 2006 4:20 pm

I just saw Joe B. on Fox, and he said that Ernesto will likely make landfall on the western Fl. coast BELOW Tampa. He also said it could move straight up the state from the Keys northward, thus affecting SE Fl. This is the first I've heard of that possibility. Anyone else? 8-)
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Regit
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#2 Postby Regit » Sun Aug 27, 2006 4:24 pm

He basically repeated what Mayfield said. It's amazing to me that they cut off Mayfield at the beginning of his news conference to yield to Bastardi, then cut Bastardi off. Oh well.

Mayfield said that the Panhandle, Peninsula, and Carolinas all need to be watching and said that the SW landfall with a northward movement is possible. In discussing the forecast process, he cited the GFDL and GFS.
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#3 Postby Stratusxpeye » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:12 pm

Im in agreement with the gfs current model runs. I also agree with the keys and up north through the state or a se fl landfall near key largo with just a little slice of florida involved. IMO It would not be the pennisula at all and west coast (tampa northward) is only 25% ft myers and all keys and se florida 75% chance IMO based on the current conditions.
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#4 Postby sunnyday » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:18 pm

Yet, local mets in SE FL just said that we will receive NO big impact at all, just some squalls and tornado watches due to the storm's movement on the WEST coast of FL. They don't even hint at a storm coming up the state from the Keys.
It is all quite confusing and makes me remember once again the unpredictability of hurricanes. 8-)
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#5 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:21 pm

Did anyone notice the female anchor nearly begging him to say NO should be on the lookout???

He said NO, real quick, then she cut him off..
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#6 Postby pavelbure224 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:23 pm

Sunny- Did they say that on Channel 6
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#7 Postby tropicsgal05 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:24 pm

I think the land fall is going to depend on where Ernesto exits from Cuba.
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#8 Postby sunnyday » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:32 pm

No, channel 25. 8-)
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#9 Postby jlauderdal » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:32 pm

sunnyday wrote:Yet, local mets in SE FL just said that we will receive NO big impact at all, just some squalls and tornado watches due to the storm's movement on the WEST coast of FL. They don't even hint at a storm coming up the state from the Keys.
It is all quite confusing and makes me remember once again the unpredictability of hurricanes. 8-)


what mets said that, norcross was just on (interrupting golf might i add) and was very non-comittal about what we will have, he is toos mart for that. you must have seen lonnie quinn or someone like that.
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