Comparison to Isidore

[quandary]

This seems to be a somewhat different line of thought from what's showing up in any of the discussions...

I read a few years ago in Joe Bastard's report on Hurricane Isidore that the disruption of the core combined with the fact that Isidore had been a much more potent storm set up a situation where a band of tropical storm forced winds set up far away from the center and the fact that this energy displacement was hard to wrap back in was what caused Isidore to fail to strengthen in the gulf.

Will this play any role at all (or could it) with Ernesto. That is: could it be bad that Ernesto does not strengthen now so that when it crosses over Cuba it is effectively getting a totally fresh start and just has to organize normally? Of course, if it is TD strength after crossing Cuba, it'll probably only manage to make it up to a Cat 1-2 hurricane, but we can't discount rapid strengthening these days if good conditions are set up.

Thoughts?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its possible if that center gets messed up enough. Maybe not even a 50 mph tropical storm when its all over...If it moves over the core of Cuba.