18z NAM rolling in and shifts East towards S.FL

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Vortex
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18z NAM rolling in and shifts East towards S.FL

#1 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:29 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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caneman

#2 Postby caneman » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:31 pm

Umm, that can just as easily be read as a coast rider up the West coast.
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#3 Postby Lifesgud2 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:32 pm

Hmmm...Not good...Does this model show what strength at landfall? Just curious.
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#4 Postby Deenac813 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:33 pm

either way it is too close to me.. I really thought I did not have anything to worry about & now I am thinking I may have.
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#5 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:34 pm

About to make Landfall in SE Florida at H-48

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048l.gif
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#6 Postby Steve » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:30 pm

NAM's been hinting over a few runs that there will be split energy. I'm not sure what to make of it as no other models have returned that solution. As everyone knows, NAM ain't the greatest when it comes to the tropics, but it will occasionally do well with precipitation. It wants to take Ernesto to the S FL Coast and to the Yucatan where it spawns another low in the BOC. I only viewed the link above, so I didn't check out the split at different heights.

Steve
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