What are Local Mets saying in your area?

[kjun]

Here in New Orleans Fox 8's Chip P. said that he feels good about Ernie tonight. He does not think that it will affect LA. Also Ron S. on WDSU said earlier pretty much the same thing.

[Mattie]

Dallas Texas meteorologists said Pensacola/Mobile just now on the CBS 11 news. . .

[Frank P]

Dallas Texas meteorologists said Pensacola/Mobile just now on the CBS 11 news. . .

It absolutely amazes me that anyone can predict exactly where this storm will be 5 days out... I will be astounded if this thing hits dead on at 87 west 5 days out... it will either be east or west but to be exactly dead on... hard to believe... 50-100 miles either way makes a BIG difference on who gets pummeled and who doesn't....

[Jam151]

Here in New Orleans Fox 8's Chip P. said that he feels good about Ernie tonight. He does not think that it will affect LA. Also Ron S. on WDSU said earlier pretty much the same thing.

new orleans mets tend to do that up until 24 hours before landfall.

[beachbum_al]

http://community.wpmi.com/blogs/davids_weather_blog/

From NBC out of Mobile David Glen's Blog

Saturday PM Ernesto Update
Ernesto has survived the shear and if you remember from my earlier posting that the enviornment will then begin to improve for rapid strengthening. We are starting to see this now as thunderstorm activity is starting to burst near the center of the storm and a high cloud dome or central dense overcast (CDO) is seen on satellite photos. So, through Sunday, we shall continue to see a gradual increase in strength. Ernesto continues to be guided by an upper level ridge to its north. As an upper level low pulls away from the western Caribbean Sea, the ridge grows stronger and provides a shear free environment. This will also keep Ernesto on a west-northwest path through the western tip of Cuba and into the Gulf through early Tuesday. Now after it reaches the Gulf, our main focus will be the ridge building over the southeast US. A stronger ridge could create a slower, more westward path. A weaker ridge could allow a north-northwest to north path in the Gulf. The latter scenario puts our part of the coast most at risk. If you have seen the NHC forecast cone, you have no doubt realized that we are dead center in the path. Please remember though, that even though such a scenario could very well occur, there are large errors in the 3-5 day forecast. Again, the strength of the ridge is the key factor into the early and middle part of next week. An approaching upper level trough's strength is the other player. So, a lot can still happen before the exact landfall location if known. So, in the mean time, we have ample time ahead before any possible affects from this storm arrives. Again, a lot can still change in the storm's path. But, you should be making preparations around your home just in case our region becomes the landfall zone. Time is on our side, so we should make the most of it. The eventual path of the storm will become a lot clearer into Monday. I will continue to keep you posted on Sunday. Please scroll down to my previous posting for model and history links for Ernesto.
posted Saturday, August 26, 2006 8:48 PM by David Glenn | 0 Comments

[tropicsgal05]

WEAR TV 3 Pensacola met say's were 5 days out that it could be anywhere within the cone.

[Droop12]

I liked David Glenn the most when I lived in Flordia. He seemed to know his stuff and was a nice guy.

[robbielyn]

our local met in tampa fl said we have to keep an eye on this. He doesn't say one way or another really about a peninsula hit, he is now worried about the interaction with land which could significantly weaken it. So he is going with the nhc for now.

[all_we_know_is_FALLING]

The local mets in Memphis (a ways off the coast, I know) are covering Ernesto pretty heavily.

They seem concerned that Cuba will disrupt it. And think a landfall in AL/FL is quite likely..

[karenfromheaven]

WJHG met said "things could get interesting" for us next week when it enters the GOM. She said it could go anywhere in the cone. Good report, covered the possible interactions with Cuba, and talked some about the models, and their divergence late in the forecast period.

[bayoubebe]

WEAR TV 3 Pensacola met say's were 5 days out that it could be anywhere within the cone.

Sounds like the smartest prediction out of them all.

I don't see how the others can say with confidence where it WILL or WILL NOT have an effect. Too far out, too early IMO.

Audiences want to know what they are THINKING, yes.

But, to say with certainty this far out is just wrong IMO.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Channel 4 is going with the "too soon to tell, we'll know plenty more by Monday morning in regards to steering patterns..."

[Windsong]

Channel 9 (orlando) just said it would landfall just north of Tampa Bay, cut across the state via Gainsville and exit on Friday at Jacksonville. I am waiting to hear that from Tom Terry though
Windsong

[wxwonder12]

what is Brian Norcross saying from channel 4 Miami??

[dizzyfish]

One of the Tampa mets was saying yesterday morning how the cone wasn't "touching" Florida so he didn't expect the storm to affect us. He's singing a different tune this morning. And eating some crow I expect.

[BOPPA]

Well I guess everyone who "bruhahad" all of us here on the SW
coast for being antsy yesterday know that our feelings were well
founded ?

Our local met said you might want to get the dust off the shutters
today and be prepared - - - with the cone the way it looks right
now, will spend my day doing just that.

Hopefully things will change - - but don't have a warm & fuzzy
feeling.

[jlauderdal]

Bonnie snyder on cnn just said ernesto will weaken from a 1 to a 2 over cuba and then betty nugyn says so than it will pick up speed in the gulf, that was one of the roughest inaccurate updates i have ever seen. what snyder meant was weaken from 2-1 and nygn meant intensify in the gulf. simpley awful. they should just repeat the nhc info and than pipe downm instead of acting like they know what they are talking about.

also, steve lyons just showed ernest going over eastern cuba or through the pass than starting wnw meanhwjuole snyder showed a track over central cuba.

i would much rather wade through meaningless posts including my own on this site for info than rely on any of this other garbage including sofla media.

[Thatsmrhurricane]

ILM disco:

".LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DISCREPANCIES IN THE LONG TERM CONCERNING THE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE
AND WITH ANY TROPICAL INFLUENCE FROM ERNESTO...ERGO THE 00Z GFS. AT
THIS TIME...HAVE STAYED CLOSER TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH 40
POPS AHEAD OF THE FRONT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. FOLLOWED BY WEDGE
SITUATION THAT PRODUCES CLOUDINESS AND STRATIFORM TYPE PCPN THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME...HAVE DISCARDED THE GFS SOLUTION
CONCERNING ERNESTO. EVENTHOUGH...TREND FOR ERNESTO FCSTS HAS BEEN TO
THE RIGHT. ALOT WILL RIDE ON THE EMERGING S/W TROF FROM THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES AND ITS FCST MOVEMENT. "

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/displayprod.php ... =ILMAFDILM

[dixiebreeze]

Channel 9 (orlando) just said it would landfall just north of Tampa Bay, cut across the state via Gainsville and exit on Friday at Jacksonville. I am waiting to hear that from Tom Terry though
Windsong

That sounds like the best analysis at the moment Windsong.

[T'Bonz]

what is Brian Norcross saying from channel 4 Miami??

He's not on TV yet. Later today, I guess.

Local S. Florida folks are all saying "Be prepared, watch, etc."