Which direction around Jamaica will Ernesto go?

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ericinmia
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Which direction around Jamaica will Ernesto go?

#1 Postby ericinmia » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:14 pm

As most of us know, it is VERY rare for the center of a storm to pass directly over Jamaica. Usually it seems they 'dance' around it to the south. ;)

Just thought i would get this topic going since I know its going to come up, and Ernesto will effect Jamaica and (Jamaica effect Ernesto's track ?? possibly) before it gets to anyone else.

Ideas????

Just look at what happened in 2004:
Image

And 2002:
Image
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Extremeweatherguy
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#2 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:19 pm

I think it will go south. Seems like most storms have gone south of Jamaica in recent years.
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fwbbreeze
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#3 Postby fwbbreeze » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:22 pm

I recently visited Negril and Montego Bay, Negril being on the SW coast. I know those poor folks wish it would bonce any way but their way!!

fwbbreeze
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Mac

#4 Postby Mac » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:26 pm

Just a thought...

Perhaps we could import Jamaican soil and sprinkle it all along our coastlines. That way we'd get to see the monster hurricanes come right up the coast and then veer away harmlessly at the last moment. Just a thought.
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#5 Postby Trugunzn » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:28 pm

I say it will go south of Jamaica and be a strong tropical storm or weak hurricane by then
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Derek Ortt

#6 Postby Derek Ortt » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:37 pm

Jamaica does not cause any bouncing

Ivan turned at the last minute ebcause it ran into a ridge of high pressure, that steered it just south of Cayman

Charley "bounced" due to a bad center location given in an advisory

Lili's center reformed in high shear
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#7 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:46 pm

South.
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#8 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 5:48 pm

North... its just as likely according to NHC.
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#9 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 6:02 pm

just south
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Re: Which direction around Jamaica will Ernesto go?

#10 Postby jlauderdal » Fri Aug 25, 2006 7:27 pm

[quote="ericinmia"]As most of us know, it is VERY rare for the center of a storm to pass directly over Jamaica. Usually it seems they 'dance' around it to the south. ;)

Just thought i would get this topic going since I know its going to come up, and Ernesto will effect Jamaica and (Jamaica effect Ernesto's track ?? possibly) before it gets to anyone else.

Ideas????



Over Kingston-this is just as likely as eric's dancing "denny terrio"hurricane. actually KC from kc and the sunshine band is from erics hometown(im not kidding about this since I work in that town) so maybe he is into disco canes.
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#11 Postby Noles2006 » Fri Aug 25, 2006 7:54 pm

I think, actually, the path will be just north of Jamaica.
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gatorcane
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 25, 2006 7:54 pm

south of Jamaica.
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#13 Postby Cyclenall » Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:02 pm

Why isn't there a poll for this? I say make a poll instead of people just replying "South" and "North". Get a mod to do it if the topic creator wishes too.

This poll could have these choices:

South of Jamaica
North of Jamaica
Direct hit on Jamaica
Other (please explain what)

I think right over Jamaica.
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DanKellFla
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Re: Which direction around Jamaica will Ernesto go?

#14 Postby DanKellFla » Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:16 pm

Sorry, I tried to edit, but it showed up as a second message.
Last edited by DanKellFla on Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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DanKellFla
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Re: Which direction around Jamaica will Ernesto go?

#15 Postby DanKellFla » Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:17 pm

DanKellFla wrote:
ericinmia wrote:As most of us know, it is VERY rare for the center of a storm to pass directly over Jamaica. Usually it seems they 'dance' around it to the south. ;)


Ideas????

:


Obviously, Jamaica is always surrounded by a High. :lol
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