When will Ernesto form?

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CrazyC83
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When will Ernesto form?

#1 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:12 pm

Now that we have Debby, I think we should guess the next one.

My guess: August 24 (Thursday) from 97L.
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#2 Postby TexWx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:16 pm

I guess this is a good way to have a first post...

I'll say, Friday Morning... August, 25th.

Moving into South Padre Island, as a TS....
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#3 Postby Cyclenall » Tue Aug 22, 2006 11:25 pm

My guess is August 24th at 5:00 pm EST. That's for the depression, not the TS. It would be from Invest 97L.
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#4 Postby NCWeatherChic » Wed Aug 23, 2006 7:14 am

Ummm, tough question...maybe after Debby and in September?! :lol: :wink:

Angela :moon2:
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#5 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Aug 23, 2006 7:37 am

Wild guess - Friday afternoon and moving into the GOM - from there, it's up for grabs.
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#6 Postby OuterBanker » Wed Aug 23, 2006 9:14 am

I'd say Friday, tpc already suggesting td soon on 97l. GOMer for Ernesto, Debby a fish. Maybe a homegrown in the Gulf. EC can relax for at least a week or more (personaly hoping for the rest of the season).
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#7 Postby Acral » Wed Aug 23, 2006 9:24 am

I agree with most here, Ernesto could form in the GoM as early as this weekend. All things being equal, I would rather it form up spin prettily then go away.

But I do think it is an outside chance of it forming this soon.
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#8 Postby beachbum_al » Wed Aug 23, 2006 9:44 am

I think Ernesto could form out of 97L and could become a TD as early as late Thursday night or Friday of this week. Where is it going? Who knows? I would say anywhere in the GOM is up for grabs. Wait and see in a couple of days to see the whole picture.
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#9 Postby Portastorm » Wed Aug 23, 2006 9:47 am

Ernesto forms this weekend in the western Caribbean and threatens Texas by the middle of next week as a strong tropical storm.

(-removed-? You bet, I want some rain!!)
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#10 Postby Cryomaniac » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:45 pm

By the end of this week, where and how strong I have no idea.
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#11 Postby CrazyC83 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:45 pm

Portastorm wrote:Ernesto forms this weekend in the western Caribbean and threatens Texas by the middle of next week as a strong tropical storm.

(-removed-? You bet, I want some rain!!)


Strong tropical storm? More like a major hurricane...
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#12 Postby Brent » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:52 pm

Tomorrow Afternoon... and it will be a major hurricane.
Last edited by Brent on Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#13 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:52 pm

friday
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#14 Postby dwg71 » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:53 pm

Let the games begin, people already calling for 97L to be a major hurricane. Cart is 15 miles ahead of the horse. Remember Chris?
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#15 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:55 pm

8-25 or 8-26
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#16 Postby Portastorm » Wed Aug 23, 2006 1:57 pm

Ahem dwg (clears throat) ... I said strong tropical storm, NOT major hurricane. Although it appears many here do believe Ernesto will be a big boy threatening someone next week.

The trend this season certainly has been watching fledgling systems get squashed. I guess the big question is have atmospheric conditions changed enough to encourage development? Most of the pro mets I have read seem to be saying it has.
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#17 Postby whereverwx » Wed Aug 23, 2006 2:01 pm

OK, I'll play too! :D :P

August 25th.
Last edited by whereverwx on Wed Aug 23, 2006 2:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#18 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 23, 2006 2:05 pm

I'll play ...

Thursday, 11am advisory.
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Wed Aug 23, 2006 2:08 pm

I join to play:

Thursday 5 AM advisory
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#20 Postby LaBreeze » Wed Aug 23, 2006 2:29 pm

And what about direction of this "system"? Is everyone in agreement at this stage that it is a threat to Texas, or where?
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