Caribbean/GOM Basin Juiced

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Sanibel
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Caribbean/GOM Basin Juiced

#1 Postby Sanibel » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:30 pm

Had to point out the significant fact that the Caribbean and GOM are thoroughly moist with scattered convection throughout. Just in time for the wet phase MJO shift.

The convection has that torn look of not-quite-totally-favorable - but getting there.
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caniac
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#2 Postby caniac » Tue Aug 22, 2006 5:49 pm

Thanks, Sanibel, for your comments. I always watch out for them. We live in Naples but Sanibel is one of our favorite places on earth.
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Emmett_Brown
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#3 Postby Emmett_Brown » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:46 pm

Yup... primed and ready to go. I am concerned about the approaching 97L from the central atlantic. This one will have ample moisture to work with for sure. The only question i have is will the shear return after 72 hours, as it has previously this season. Anyone have a link to 300mb model outputs for the Carribean beyond 72 hours?
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SouthFloridawx
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#4 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Aug 22, 2006 7:47 pm

Emmett_Brown wrote:Yup... primed and ready to go. I am concerned about the approaching 97L from the central atlantic. This one will have ample moisture to work with for sure. The only question i have is will the shear return after 72 hours, as it has previously this season. Anyone have a link to 300mb model outputs for the Carribean beyond 72 hours?


You can use this...
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

or

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... l_mu.shtml

As well as the other model output.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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StormWarning1
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#5 Postby StormWarning1 » Tue Aug 22, 2006 8:06 pm

The eastern carribean is juiced with shear and a lot of saharan dust working westward, especially at the mid levels. Not exactly prime conditions for a cyclone to get going.
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