Breaking news:Hurricane warnings extended to high island

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cycloneye
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Breaking news:Hurricane warnings extended to high island

#1 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2003 3:44 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... /MIATCPAT4

Still a Tropical storm with 65 mph winds but a little less organized now.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2003 3:47 pm

http://www.tormenta.net/frame_page.asp? ... s_nt4.html

Here is the discussion from the 4 PM CDT advisory that still calls for hurricane landfall but more north that projected that is why the hurricane warnings are extended more north.
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2003 3:51 pm

Also tropical storm warning is extended to intercoastal city LA.
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#4 Postby Johnny » Mon Jul 14, 2003 3:52 pm

They are still forecasting Claudette to make a move towards the West-Northwest. They have been saying this for days. I just don't see it making this turn. Maybe to the Northwest instead of the North-Northwest but that should be the extent of it. Do y'all agree?
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#5 Postby Colin » Mon Jul 14, 2003 4:14 pm

I agree, Johnny...
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jul 14, 2003 4:22 pm

To all the members that may be at the path of Claudette I say to them good luck and hopefully it passes fast and not move slowly because the main threat will be the torrential rains.Prayers from me to all the people in the warning areas.
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Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Mon Jul 14, 2003 4:29 pm

Great Post LUIS!!!!! I agree..you guys stay safe!!!
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JetMaxx

#8 Postby JetMaxx » Mon Jul 14, 2003 6:25 pm

I agree fully with NHC extending hurricane warnings to include Galveston, but don't believe that area will recieve sustained hurricane conditions...because Claudette is small and compact. It's best to err on the side of caution in such a populated and vunerable area.

Even landfall at Freeport would likely mean winds less than hurricane force in Galveston....and I believe the eye will cross the Texas Coast farther south (I'm projecting landfall in the Bay City to Palacios area).

PW
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#9 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Jul 14, 2003 6:38 pm

Johnny wrote:They are still forecasting Claudette to make a move towards the West-Northwest. They have been saying this for days. I just don't see it making this turn. Maybe to the Northwest instead of the North-Northwest but that should be the extent of it. Do y'all agree?


The high pressure area expected to develop over the Central US and extend into Texas hasn't materialized as fast as all the global models have led us to believe ... and has allowed Claudette to come farther northward than originally expected ... plus a new ULL SW of Claudette hasn't had any influence yet on pulling Claudette westward as of yet, either ...

JetMaxx wrote:I agree fully with NHC extending hurricane warnings to include Galveston, but don't believe that area will recieve sustained hurricane conditions...because Claudette is small and compact. It's best to err on the side of caution in such a populated and vunerable area.


I agree with that statement 1000% ... There job and mission is to protect lives ...

JetMaxx wrote:Even landfall at Freeport would likely mean winds less than hurricane force in Galveston....and I believe the eye will cross the Texas Coast farther south (I'm projecting landfall in the Bay City to Palacios area).


The bottom line is if and when that westward turn occurs is the most important determination of where's Claudette exact landfall point should be ... IMO, that's a good window of landfall projections ...
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