WPAC: Tropical Storm María (0607)

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPAAT 22.7N 151.4E SOUTHWEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 06KNOTS.POSITION POOR.MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.



Another tropical depression forms in the WPAC according to JMA. The JTWC is still giving this system a POOR rating.

[P.K.]

There is also another new low pressure area out there as there were only two listed last night, and now there are two plus this TD.

The next name is Maria off the USA's list.

[P.K.]

Down 2hPa to 1004hPa.

WWJP25 RJTD 041800
WARNING AND SUMMARY 041800.
WARNING VALID 051800.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1004 HPA
AT 23.9N 148.3E WEST OF MINAMITORISIMA MOVING NORTHWEST 14 KNOTS.
POSITION POOR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 143E
47N 152E 55N 162E 60N 163E 60N 180E 40N 180E 38N 160E 39N 142E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1004 HPA AT 46N 157E EAST 15 KT.
LOW 1008 HPA AT 43N 174E EAST 20 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 16N 131E WNW 10 KT.
LOW PRESSURE AREA 1006 HPA NEAR 10N 149E WNW 10 KT.
HIGH 1014 HPA AT 39N 126E ENE SLOWLY.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 157E TO 46N 158E 45N 159E.
WARM FRONT FROM 45N 159E TO 43N 161E 41N 163E.
COLD FRONT FROM 45N 159E TO 41N 150E 40N 145E.
REMARKS.
TROPICAL STORM 0606 PRAPIROON (0606) 996 HPA AT 23.9N 107.7E : SEE
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[P.K.]

30kts, 998hPa.

WWJP25 RJTD 050600
WARNING AND SUMMARY 050600.
WARNING VALID 060600.
WARNING IS UPDATED EVERY 6 HOURS.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 998 HPA
AT 25.6N 146.3E EAST OF OGASAWARA SHOTO MOVING NORTHWEST 11 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 45 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 26.0N 141.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
GALE WARNING.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1000 HPA
AT 11.6N 147.6E SEA EAST OF MARIANAS MOVING NORTHNORTHWEST 12 KNOTS.
POSITION FAIR.
MAX WINDS 30 KNOTS NEAR CENTER.
EXPECTED MAX WINDS 35 KNOTS NEAR CENTER FOR NEXT 24 HOURS.
FORECAST POSITION FOR 060600UTC AT 15.0N 146.5E WITH 150 MILES RADIUS
OF 70 PERCENT PROBABILITY CIRCLE.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER SEA OF OKHOTSK SEA OF JAPAN BOHAI
YELLOW SEA.
WARNING.
DENSE FOG OBSERVED LOCALLY OVER WATERS BOUNDED BY 39N 142E 42N 142E
46N 150E 55N 162E 60N 165E 60N 180E 40N 180E 36N 170E 36N 150E 39N
142E.
SUMMARY.
LOW 1002 HPA AT 46N 159E ESE 10 KT.
LOW 1006 HPA AT 44N 178E EAST 10 KT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 HPA AT 21N 133E NW 10 KT.
HIGH 1012 HPA AT 37N 124E ALMOST STATIONARY.
OCCLUDED FRONT FROM 46N 159E TO 46N 160E 45N 161E.
COLD FRONT FROM 45N 161E TO 41N 157E 38N 150E.
WARM FRONT FROM 45N 161E TO 44N 164E 42N 167E.

JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY.=

[MississippiHurricane]

Looks like it has a good start

[P.K.]

Upgraded to TS Maria. The number of this TC is 0607.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TS 0607 MARIA (0607) UPGRADED FROM TD
ANALYSIS
PSTN 051200UTC 26.0N 145.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 09KT
PRES 998HPA
MXWD 035KT
30KT 100NM
FORECAST
24HF 061200UTC 26.4N 140.4E 80NM 70%
MOVE W 11KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
48HF 071200UTC 27.3N 135.8E 150NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
72HF 081200UTC 28.0N 130.0E 220NM 70%
MOVE W 12KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT

[JonathanBelles]

what is this? is it a storm or a nothing? its not mentioned on the JTWC site? should it go in my log?

[senorpepr]

what is this? is it a storm or a nothing? its not mentioned on the JTWC site? should it go in my log?

This is a tropical storm. Remember, JMA is the official source for WPAC storms... NOT the JTWC.

[HURAKAN]

05/1433 UTC 26.3N 144.2E T2.5/2.5 MARIA -- West Pacific Ocean

[HURAKAN]

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Based on what I'v seen there is no one in the firely under world of H#%$ that this is a depression. Its very likely a tropical storm at 55 knots.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc0 ... atest.html

[JonathanBelles]

how did you get that picture?

[wxmann_91]

The JTWC is way off with these two systems. As I'm seeing it right now, a trough to the east is enhancing the poleward outflow with Maria. With it just north of the highest HC's in the area, and being symmetric right now, this one looks like it's going to undergo RI soon. I'm favoring this one to become a typhoon, maybe becoming a Cat 2 or 3. The other system, Saomai, is being sheared by Maria's equatorial outflow, and it might take some time to reach typhoon strength.

[Cyclenall]

This tropical storm looks highly organized and ready to strengthen quickly.

[wxmann_91]

Agree Cyclenall. Anyone can say "fist-shape"?

[JonathanBelles]

no all advisorys come out at 8 pm local time or should i wait till 11?

[Cyclenall]

Has anyone seen images of this thing tonight? I did, and it pulled a "Bud" on us.

[P.K.]

no all advisorys come out at 8 pm local time or should i wait till 11?

RSMC Tokyo release advisories every 3 hours, although only the 0000, 0600, 1200, and 1800 GMT advisories have new forecast positions and intensities in them.

Upgraded to a Severe Tropical Storm.

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0607 MARIA (0607)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 060900UTC 27.7N 141.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
30KT 120NM
FORECAST
24HF 070900UTC 30.2N 136.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE WNW 11KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
45HF 080600UTC 31.9N 133.3E 150NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT
69HF 090600UTC 32.6N 128.5E 220NM 70%
MOVE W 10KT
PRES 980HPA
MXWD 055KT

[jimvb]

What I find interesting about Maria, Bopha, and Saomai is that they form a nearly perfect equilateral triangle. It makes me wonder about the dynamics of the area within the triangle. In my opinion, the North Atlantic is turning into a dud season, with nothing predicted by GFS to come up until the 19th, while the Pacific has all kinds of storms in it. If this keeps up, a major typhoon may soon be in the news.

[HURAKAN]

Does anyone know if there is a record on how many storms have formed in 24 hours? Because the WPAC have had 3 storms in 24 hours, amazing!!!