active hurricane season???

[willjnewton]

does most things right now look favorable for a very busy and very active hurricane season???

[JonathanBelles]

i think we will have an active late hurricane season...i think october will be active

[Grease Monkey]

I think it does right now, but conditions can change drastically from week to week.

[HURAKAN]

Last year October was the busiest month with 6 storms.

Like it's common, I expect things to pick up by early to mid August, and September could be a very busy month. Let see what happens.

The good for those that like to track storms like us is that the best of the season is yet to come!!!

A possible example is 2001.

1 Tropical Storm ALLISON 05-06 JUN 50 1002 -
2 Tropical Depression TWO 12-12 JUL 25 1011 -
3 Tropical Storm BARRY 02-06 AUG 60 990 -
4 Tropical Storm CHANTAL 15-22 AUG 60 994 -
5 Tropical Storm DEAN 22-28 AUG 60 992 -
6 Hurricane ERIN 01-15 SEP 105 969 3
7 Hurricane FELIX 07-19 SEP 100 965 3
8 Hurricane GABRIELLE 11-19 SEP 70 975 1
9 Tropical Depression NINE 19-20 SEP 30 1005 -
10 Hurricane HUMBERTO 21-27 SEP 90 970 2
11 Hurricane IRIS 04-09 OCT 125 950 4
12 Tropical Storm JERRY 06-08 OCT 45 1003 -
13 Hurricane KAREN 12-15 OCT 70 982 1
14 Tropical Storm LORENZO 27-31 OCT 35 1007 -
15 Hurricane MICHELLE 29 OCT-06 NOV 120 933 4
16 Hurricane NOEL 05-06 NOV 65 984 1
17 Hurricane OLGA 24 NOV-04 DEC 80 973 1

[abajan]

It's been a normal season (as opposed to a slow one, which some seem to think it is) thus far but I think it will rachet up (perhaps drastically) next month.

There have been many seasons that turned out like that.

[Blown Away]

I'll bet July 29, 2004 this board was calling the 2004 season a bust. The "A" storm "Alex" did not form until July 31, 2004 and we all know what happened after that! For me it was being in the calm eye of 2 hurricanes within a 2 week period (Frances & Jeanne)!

[frederic79]

Just a thought (it's been a long day). Let's assume that the official forecast for this season verifies. Climotology tells us the longer it is BEFORE things really get started, the more likely those storms will have much more favorable conditions to work with. I believe the stage is being set for some very significant tropical activity starting soon as their are 10 hurricanes forecast with 6 of them majors. This forecast may be a bust, but I doubt it.

[Jim Cantore]

2004

Enough said

[AussieMark]

1998 was similar also

just 1 storm fomed before August and that was late July

the season ended up with 14/10/3