Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

#1 Postby drezee » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:10 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85395

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow:

Thread #1


Invest 90L: http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
Last edited by drezee on Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:12 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
Top
StormScanWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1242
Joined: Mon Dec 05, 2005 7:53 pm

#2 Postby StormScanWx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:10 pm

Does anyone have a map with all the models currently available?

And the probability graphic, please. :)
Last edited by StormScanWx on Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:11 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#3 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:11 pm

Here is the link to the original thread...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85395
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#4 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:11 pm

...and let's start off with the 18Z plots so they don't get lost.

Image
0 likes   
Top
MiamiensisWx

#5 Postby MiamiensisWx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:12 pm

783
WHXX01 KWBC 081751
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL902006) ON 20060608 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060608 1800 060609 0600 060609 1800 060610 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 17.8N 88.2W 18.2N 88.0W 18.7N 88.1W 19.6N 88.9W
BAMM 17.8N 88.2W 18.3N 88.3W 18.7N 88.9W 19.2N 90.1W
A98E 17.8N 88.2W 18.5N 88.1W 19.2N 88.1W 20.4N 87.2W
LBAR 17.8N 88.2W 18.6N 88.2W 19.9N 88.6W 21.6N 89.4W
SHIP 20KTS 24KTS 28KTS 32KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 25KTS 26KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060610 1800 060611 1800 060612 1800 060613 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.0N 90.0W 24.0N 91.5W 26.3N 91.4W 27.7N 91.3W
BAMM 20.0N 91.5W 21.7N 93.8W 22.4N 95.5W 22.1N 97.8W
A98E 21.4N 87.3W 22.9N 87.5W 24.8N 87.3W 27.0N 85.1W
LBAR 23.4N 90.2W 27.2N 89.5W 28.4N 84.4W 29.7N 78.9W
SHIP 36KTS 42KTS 46KTS 49KTS
DSHP 32KTS 39KTS 42KTS 45KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 17.8N LONCUR = 88.2W DIRCUR = 355DEG SPDCUR = 5KT
LATM12 = 16.6N LONM12 = 88.0W DIRM12 = 356DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 15.0N LONM24 = 88.3W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 15KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

.....THE ABOVE HAS BEEN A TEST MESSAGE.....
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
isobar0512
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:03 am
Location: Alabama Gulf Coast

#6 Postby isobar0512 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:12 pm

skysummit, where did you get that map plot from?
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#7 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:13 pm

Whooo let it form let it form!!! Darn it still another week before I can track. :cry:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146203
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:13 pm

drezee,we decided that it has to be locked when it gets page ten regardless on how many replies it has when it reaches that page.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
drezee
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3664
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 12:49 pm
Location: FL

#9 Postby drezee » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:14 pm

cycloneye wrote:drezee,we decided that it has to be locked when it gets page ten regardless on how many replies it has when it reaches that page.


Sweet...didn't know that
0 likes   
Top
Matt-hurricanewatcher

#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:14 pm

Wow this is about the time of Arlene last year. On track if it forms. Still the sst's over the Atlatnic are below what they where last year.
0 likes   
Top
rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#11 Postby rockyman » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:14 pm

12z Canadian (now that the other models have become bullish, Canadian becomes bearish):

Image
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#12 Postby skysummit » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:14 pm

isobar0512 wrote:skysummit, where did you get that map plot from?


It's software.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
dixiebreeze
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5140
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 5:07 pm
Location: crystal river, fla.

#13 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:15 pm

Good thing no one takes the L-Bar seriously 'cause it's right over my front porch :roll:
Last edited by dixiebreeze on Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:19 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
isobar0512
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 12
Joined: Wed Jun 07, 2006 11:03 am
Location: Alabama Gulf Coast

#14 Postby isobar0512 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:15 pm

Where can I get software like that?
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#15 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:17 pm

Have you guys noticed that more and more people are browsing this forum ever since 90L?
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Opal storm

#16 Postby Opal storm » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:18 pm

Isn't GFDL a really good model?Maybe it's on to something.
0 likes   
Top
StormScanWx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1242
Joined: Mon Dec 05, 2005 7:53 pm

#17 Postby StormScanWx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:18 pm

Where is the GFDL model? I haven't seen it.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
lester
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1305
Age: 36
Joined: Sat Aug 27, 2005 5:21 pm
Location: Washington, DC
Contact:
Contact lester

#18 Postby lester » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:19 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Have you guys noticed that more and more people are browsing this forum ever since 90L?

yep
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#19 Postby feederband » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:20 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Have you guys noticed that more and more people are browsing this forum ever since 90L?


Yeah 3 rows worth...
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#20 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:20 pm

Opal storm wrote:Isn't GFDL a really good model?Maybe it's on to something.


Yeah it's good at forecasting where a system will go, but when it comes to forecasting strength it needs work.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib, Google [Bot], Google Adsense [Bot] and 62 guests