SW Carib Blob

[MortisFL]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html


It's on the edge of some 40 kt shear, so development would be slow if any to occur unless it went closer to the Yucatan coast where the shear is 20 kt or less.

[CHRISTY]

Here is an IR image of the blob in the SW caribbean.

[Extremeweatherguy]

wow, that thing is looking very good. Would this head into FL if it formed?

[CHRISTY]

wow, that thing is looking very good. Would this head into FL if it formed?

we first have to see if it persist...

[Aquawind]

Poof Alert!

Major outflow boundries on vis.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html

[ALhurricane]

Poof Alert!

Major outflow boundries on vis.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurr.html

Poof alert should be upgraded to a Poof Warning.

The last thing you want if you want to see development is the occurrence of an outflow boundary. Basically that symbolizes the thunderstorms have begun to collapse. The outflow boundary represents air rushing away from the convective system. For development you want low level winds converging into the system.

[MiamiensisWx]

At least we can be pretty certain this MUCH has less of a chance than the southwest Gulf of Mexico system off Texas (which doesn't likely have much of a chance, either, for development).