How many named storms NOAA'S 2006 outlook will have?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:17 am

Folks,even if I am a moderator I had to go by the rules and ask the rest of the staff for approval for this poll to be posted and they granted it.

My opinion is that they will be around 16-18 named storms.We will know their numbers when they release the outlook on May 22.

James · #2 Postby **James** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:20 am

I think you're right cycloneye, there doesn't seem to have been any major event that suggests the numbers Klotzbach and Gray put forward will be too few.

MiamiensisWx · #3 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:21 am

I agree with Luis (cycloneye) and James. I voted between sixteen and eighteen named storms.

Coredesat · #4 Postby **Coredesat** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:23 am

And I agree with the three of you. :lol:

16-18 seems like a reasonable number, maybe leaning more toward the 16 mark.

#5 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:29 am

To clarify,I posted the numbers like they appear at the poll because NOAA always do their forecast with in between numbers example 16-18 etc. They not have the numbers like what the folks of Colorado State University or Tropical Storm Risk have as they do their outlooks with only one number per category.

#6 Postby **vbhoutex** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:40 am

I voted the 16-18 but I am wondering if they will go conservative and go one level below that. We'll see.

#7 Postby **skysummit** » Mon May 01, 2006 9:45 am

I'm the one that said 13-15. I believe they will go conservative and maybe change it up a little later in the season.

Camille_2_Katrina · #8 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Mon May 01, 2006 10:09 am

I'm saying 7 to 9... We need a break and I think this will
be a very calm year. I look for us to get through most if
not all of August without a named storm.

We really need a long break here in the GOM especially.

CHRISTY · #9 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon May 01, 2006 10:17 am

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:I'm saying 7 to 9... We need a break and I think this will
be a very calm year. I look for us to get through most if
not all of August without a named storm.

We really need a long break here in the GOM especially.

i think that might be wishful thinking there....but yea hopefully its a quiet season with plenty of FISH!

Camille_2_Katrina · #10 Postby **Camille_2_Katrina** » Mon May 01, 2006 10:21 am

more than wishful thinking... more like
WISHFUL PRAYING ! !

CHRISTY · #11 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon May 01, 2006 10:22 am

Camille_2_Katrina wrote:more than wishful thinking... more like
WISHFUL PRAYING ! !

#12 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Mon May 01, 2006 10:34 am

skysummit wrote:I'm the one that said 13-15. I believe they will go conservative and maybe change it up a little later in the season.

Agree...same reason I chose the 13-15 range. Good numbers to raise needed awareness (not that anyone living along the northern Gulf Coast or in Florida needs it!) but not send anyone — read "news media":wink: — into a panicked frenzy.

CHRISTY · #13 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon May 01, 2006 10:39 am

were going to have an active season this year,but will they hit the U.S. no one knows....remember guys we dont need 20 tropical systems to have a bad year,if we have 12-13 but alot of them hit the U.S. 2006 will end being worse then 2005.to me thats why everyone has to be ready for the possiblity of continued hurricane strikes along our coastlines,its been happening since 2004-2005 so you never know it may very well continue.

i thinks NOAA'S update will include Between 19-21 named storms...

PS!keep this in mind it only takes ONE!

Ivan14 · #14 Postby **Ivan14** » Mon May 01, 2006 1:55 pm

I voted 16-18.

#15 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Mon May 01, 2006 1:59 pm

i'd say just above your #'s cycloneye

hurricanefloyd5 · #16 Postby **hurricanefloyd5** » Mon May 01, 2006 2:22 pm

i say 19-21 because at the fact that DR.Gray's forecast is usally off by 1 or 2 names but basilly on target!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

HurricaneHunter914 · #17 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Mon May 01, 2006 3:50 pm

Honestly I think we are going to need the greek letters again so I vote over 22 storms. Please don't bash me.

CHRISTY · #18 Postby **CHRISTY** » Mon May 01, 2006 3:52 pm

I agree i think this season will be more active then people are expecting....

NONAME · #19 Postby **NONAME** » Mon May 01, 2006 5:11 pm

Does anyone know if they release one for the eastern pacific

weatherwoman132 · #20 Postby **weatherwoman132** » Mon May 01, 2006 5:43 pm

I voted 16-18, but who know.s