Hurricanes that crossed Florida during el nino & la nina

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CHRISTY

Hurricanes that crossed Florida during el nino & la nina

#1 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Apr 06, 2006 10:03 pm

This is a graphic of all hurricanes that have struck SOUTHEAST FLORIDA during LA NINA YEARS .





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This is a graphic of all Hurricanes that have struck SOUTHEAST FLORIDA during LA NINA YEARS. VERY SCARY!

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This is a graphic of all hurricanes that have struck SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING LA NINA YEARS!

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This is a graphic of all hurricanes that have struck SOUTHWEST FLORIDA DURING NEUTRAL YEARS.

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Last edited by CHRISTY on Thu Apr 06, 2006 10:28 pm, edited 6 times in total.
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HurricaneHunter914
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#2 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Apr 06, 2006 10:07 pm

I'm suprised that Florida gets more hurricanes in nuetral years and with this next season being expected to be both a La Nina and a Neutral year, Florida is going to have to watch out. Storm Chasers better be heading to Florida. :eek:
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#3 Postby NCHurricane » Thu Apr 06, 2006 10:10 pm

Good site. Thanks Christy!

Here's NC for the same periods.

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Hmm..lots-o-lines there.

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Big difference with the ol' El Nino, eh?
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Thu Apr 06, 2006 11:04 pm

Here is a graphic showing activity before, after, and during El nino years. What a difference between El Nino and La Nina:


Image
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#5 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Apr 07, 2006 5:33 am

Great find!!!! Very interesting maps but disturbing for my area if this turns in to a "neutral" year...
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Weatherfreak000

#6 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Fri Apr 07, 2006 6:46 am

You know for those La Nina years I can't see a SINGLE Landfalling Cape Verde SE Florida Hurricane. Not even one.




Interesting, :roll:


Anyway, good finds.
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#7 Postby windycity » Fri Apr 07, 2006 11:06 am

Some had to come off the cape, right?
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CHRISTY

#8 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Apr 07, 2006 12:01 pm

RAIN MIGHT BE ON THE WAY....


000
FXUS62 KMFL 071347
AFDMFL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
935 AM EDT FRI APR 7 2006

NO CHANGES TO DETAILED DISCUSSION BELOW. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
INDICATE FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING SOUTH FLORIDA LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY AND EXTENDING CHANCES OF PRECIP MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. BUT
THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE FORECAST WITH THE LATEST SUITE OF
MODEL GUIDANCE INDICATING SLIGHTLY DIFFERENT TIMING WHEN THE FRONT
WILL EXIT SOUTH FLORIDA AND ALSO ANY SUPPORTING DYNAMICS THAT MAY
SUPPORT CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS. CURRENTLY MONDAY APPEARS TO HAVE
BEST CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WILL WAIT FOR 12Z GUIDANCE TO
SEE IF THE GUIDANCE CONVERGES ON THIS.
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MiamiensisWx

#9 Postby MiamiensisWx » Fri Apr 07, 2006 1:15 pm

Isn't that discussion you posted, CHRISTY, off the topic?
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#10 Postby jdray » Fri Apr 07, 2006 3:04 pm

Weatherfreak000 wrote:You know for those La Nina years I can't see a SINGLE Landfalling Cape Verde SE Florida Hurricane. Not even one.

Interesting, :roll:

Anyway, good finds.


True, but look at this:
Image

This is NE Florida during La Nina years. 1 stands out. Dora in 1964. Was a cape verde storm (and a super long tracker at that)
Image
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Weatherfreak000

#11 Postby Weatherfreak000 » Fri Apr 07, 2006 3:10 pm

jdray wrote:
Weatherfreak000 wrote:You know for those La Nina years I can't see a SINGLE Landfalling Cape Verde SE Florida Hurricane. Not even one.

Interesting, :roll:

Anyway, good finds.


True, but look at this:
Image

This is NE Florida during La Nina years. 1 stands out. Dora in 1964. Was a cape verde storm (and a super long tracker at that)
Image



Interesting find, I wonder why that isn't on the chart? :idea:



Anyway, my point is in La Nina years Cape Verde Seasons tend to recurve and years of Climatology prove it. So everyone afraid of this Bermuda High Florida is doomed thing should still be afraid of course, but if they are shorter tracking hopefully they will be less strong.
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#12 Postby jaxfladude » Fri Apr 07, 2006 3:39 pm

:uarrow: :uarrow: :uarrow: :eek: :eek: :eek:
I live In NE FLA!!!!<----NOT HurricaneGirl, but, wait until she sees this.... :lol:
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#13 Postby TampaFl » Fri Apr 07, 2006 4:07 pm

Christy, can you post the link to the site that you got the maps from. Very interesting to say the least! Thanks

Robert 8-)
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CHRISTY

#14 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Apr 07, 2006 5:50 pm

here u go robert...

http://www.coastalclimate.org
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Rainband

#15 Postby Rainband » Fri Apr 07, 2006 7:02 pm

this year is going to be just like 1995. Mostly fish. 8-)
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#16 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Fri Apr 07, 2006 7:07 pm

How do you know that?
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Rainband

#17 Postby Rainband » Fri Apr 07, 2006 7:11 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:How do you know that?
Just my opinion and a feeling. Time will tell :wink: Look at where the BH sets up in a few months.
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#18 Postby caribepr » Fri Apr 07, 2006 7:29 pm

This sort of sounds kinda like sitting around the campfire as kids and scaring ourselves with what might be out there in the dark
(except for the history part, AS history...that's interesting)...do it enough and you can get jumpy as hell, especially if you HAVE been hit.

The alternative, to watch and wait and work on preps while enjoying the days and nights of now...maybe that seems boring? But I like playing in the sun while it is shining 8-)
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#19 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Fri Apr 07, 2006 7:38 pm

I agree with you caribepr let's enjoy ourselves as much as we can. And when a hurricane forms we can't assume that it is going to be fish we have to prepare no matter what the meteoroligist says. With the ridge set up right now it is going to be hard getting a fish storm this year.
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Rainband

#20 Postby Rainband » Fri Apr 07, 2006 7:45 pm

Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:I agree with you caribepr let's enjoy ourselves as much as we can. And when a hurricane forms we can't assume that it is going to be fish we have to prepare no matter what the meteoroligist says. With the ridge set up right now it is going to be hard getting a fish storm this year.
I agree but hurricane season isn't till June. Being ready goes without saying. meteorologists are usually right.
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