Doesn't the friction over land kill tropical cyclones?
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23694
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
Doesn't the friction over land kill tropical cyclones?
The answer may not be what you think. We saw this with Wilma as even though it had CAT 2 winds there were CAT 3 "bursts." Note Andrew is mentioned as it weakened dramatically as it moved over the Everglades. Katrina, however, seemed to get better organized, although she weakened some to strong T.S. I wonder where her "heat source" was that was lacking with Andrew?
Answer:
"No. During landfall, the increased friction over land acts - somewhat contradictory - to both decrease the sustained winds and also to increase the gusts felt at the surface (Powell and Houston 1996). The sustained (1 min or longer average) winds are reduced because of the dampening effect of larger roughness over land (i.e. bushes, trees and houses over land versus a relatively smooth ocean). The gusts are stronger because turbulence increases and acts to bring faster winds down to the surface in short (a few seconds) bursts.
However, after just a few hours, a tropical cyclone over land will begin to weaken rapidly - not because of friction - but because the storm lacks the the moisture and heat sources that the ocean provided. This depletion of moisture and heat hurts the tropical cyclone's ability to produce thunderstorms near the storm center. Without this convection,the storm rapidly fills.
An early numerical simulation (Tuleya and Kurihara 1978) had shown that a hurricane making landfall over a very moist region (i.e. mainly swamp) so that surface evaporation is unchanged, intensification may result. However, a more recent study (Tuleya 1994) that has a more realistic treatment of surface conditions found that even over a swampy area a hurricane would weaken because of limited heat sources. Indeed, nature conducted this experiment during Andrew as the hurricane traversed the very wet Everglades, Big Cypress and Corkscrew Swamp areas of southwest Florida. Andrew weakened dramatically: peak winds decreased about 33% and the sea level pressure in the eye filled 19 mb (Powell and Houston 1996)."
Courtesy: NOAA Hurricane Research Division
It is the offseason, so I thought, "why not a hurricane trick question?"
Answer:
"No. During landfall, the increased friction over land acts - somewhat contradictory - to both decrease the sustained winds and also to increase the gusts felt at the surface (Powell and Houston 1996). The sustained (1 min or longer average) winds are reduced because of the dampening effect of larger roughness over land (i.e. bushes, trees and houses over land versus a relatively smooth ocean). The gusts are stronger because turbulence increases and acts to bring faster winds down to the surface in short (a few seconds) bursts.
However, after just a few hours, a tropical cyclone over land will begin to weaken rapidly - not because of friction - but because the storm lacks the the moisture and heat sources that the ocean provided. This depletion of moisture and heat hurts the tropical cyclone's ability to produce thunderstorms near the storm center. Without this convection,the storm rapidly fills.
An early numerical simulation (Tuleya and Kurihara 1978) had shown that a hurricane making landfall over a very moist region (i.e. mainly swamp) so that surface evaporation is unchanged, intensification may result. However, a more recent study (Tuleya 1994) that has a more realistic treatment of surface conditions found that even over a swampy area a hurricane would weaken because of limited heat sources. Indeed, nature conducted this experiment during Andrew as the hurricane traversed the very wet Everglades, Big Cypress and Corkscrew Swamp areas of southwest Florida. Andrew weakened dramatically: peak winds decreased about 33% and the sea level pressure in the eye filled 19 mb (Powell and Houston 1996)."
Courtesy: NOAA Hurricane Research Division
It is the offseason, so I thought, "why not a hurricane trick question?"
0 likes
- Tampa Bay Hurricane
- Category 5
- Posts: 5597
- Age: 37
- Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 7:54 pm
- Location: St. Petersburg, FL
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1242
- Joined: Mon Dec 05, 2005 7:53 pm
benny wrote:The lack of heat source is the best guess right now... not friction. Friction could theoretically help to spin the cyclone up a little by increasing low-level convergence. However the boundary layer of the tropical cyclone just gets too stable over land and that is what starts the spindown.
Interesting concept. I've never been much of a believer in the friction theory. Stability of the atmosphere (all things being relative) and lack of warm, 100% moisture sounds much more plausable.
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
- Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 11095
- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
Normandy wrote:This means a cat5 (165 mph winds) could potentially produce a 230 mph gust overland using the ratio.
If Wilma had struck land at her peak 9185 mph), then she could have produced a 260 mph gust overland.
Scary stuff.
This is also why the Houston area is so vulnerable. If a Cat. 4 with, let's say, 145mph winds hit the Galveston area and then curved back up through Houston..and then had 100mph sustained winds in Houston...gusts could still reach 120+mph (the same power as an F2 tornado).
0 likes
- Aslkahuna
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 4550
- Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
- Location: Tucson, AZ
- Contact:
Remember that surface roughness will decrease the sustained winds as mentioned above so the sustained winds would not have been 165 mph over land but probably closer to 130-140 mph with gusts of 195-210 mph using a 1.5 ratio (splitting the difference). A situation where you have the eye of a storm moving parallell to the coast is usually not the worst surge potential, though in the case of the East Coast of the US it could cause a big set up with the onshore winds, depending upon the configuration of the coast line, etc. a perpendicular strike where the surge is driven directly onshore is the worst-this is why Katrina was so bad-large intense storm with a big surge buildup driving in perpendicular to a coastal region prone to extreme storm surges. Katrina was, in effect the same as a moderate sized major typhoon.
Steve
Steve
0 likes
Aslkahuna wrote:Remember that surface roughness will decrease the sustained winds as mentioned above so the sustained winds would not have been 165 mph over land but probably closer to 130-140 mph with gusts of 195-210 mph using a 1.5 ratio (splitting the difference). A situation where you have the eye of a storm moving parallell to the coast is usually not the worst surge potential, though in the case of the East Coast of the US it could cause a big set up with the onshore winds, depending upon the configuration of the coast line, etc. a perpendicular strike where the surge is driven directly onshore is the worst-this is why Katrina was so bad-large intense storm with a big surge buildup driving in perpendicular to a coastal region prone to extreme storm surges. Katrina was, in effect the same as a moderate sized major typhoon.
Steve
Thats true, but areas immediately near the coast (within 5 miles) would experience some of the worst winds (Like say Miami Beach). Thats what I was taking into account.
0 likes
- Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2813
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
- gatorcane
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23694
- Age: 47
- Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
- Location: Boca Raton, FL
There are certain cases in which storms can also be Barocliniclly enhanced in the Mid-Latitudes, due to interaction with troughs that off set the effects of an unfavorable environment to some degree. In such cases they weaken more slowly over land
Yes I agree. Do you think Wilma was a good example of this? There was a powerful trough digging down into FL that I think baroclinically enhanced her. Also the friction with land caused CAT 3 "bursts" judging by isolated severe cases of damage here.
Katrina did not weaken as much because it being a weaker storm, did not require as much energy to sustain itself as did Andrew
Thanks, that is what I thought also.
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: StormWeather, TomballEd, WaveBreaking and 76 guests