With all this rain in California

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Gtmalacd

With all this rain in California

#1 Postby Gtmalacd » Wed Apr 05, 2006 11:25 am

would this not signify an EL NINO event?
0 likes   

User avatar
weatherwoman132
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 305
Joined: Wed Mar 08, 2006 7:26 pm

#2 Postby weatherwoman132 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 11:29 am

we need the rain!!
0 likes   

User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#3 Postby feederband » Wed Apr 05, 2006 11:58 am

Rain ...What is that? I remember reading about that once... :lol:
0 likes   

DoctorHurricane2003

#4 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:09 pm

You are going the wrong way with your logic, gtma. You don't look at an effect that is caused by many things and say "well this must be because there is x occurring." You look directly at the cause.
0 likes   

User avatar
HouTXmetro
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3949
Joined: Sun Jun 13, 2004 6:00 pm
Location: District of Columbia, USA

#5 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:14 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:You are going the wrong way with your logic, gtma. You don't look at an effect that is caused by many things and say "well this must be because there is x occurring." You look directly at the cause.


Whats the cause?
0 likes   
[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

DoctorHurricane2003

#6 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:20 pm

It could be many things. I'm not an expert on California climatology, but a guess of mine would say it has something to do with abnormal water temperatures in the north pacific ocean around 30-45 N.
0 likes   

weatherlover427

#7 Postby weatherlover427 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:21 pm

It hasn't been raining too much here. The LA basin is still about 3 inches below average for this time of year.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#8 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:27 pm

feederband wrote:Rain ...What is that? I remember reading about that once... :lol:


It is this clear liquid stuff that falls from the sky. I have heard of this once in a book I read a long time ago. In fact if I ever saw this "rain" phenomenon that you talking about I'm not sure what I would do.
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#9 Postby HURAKAN » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:37 pm

LONG TIME NO SEE!!!
0 likes   

User avatar
BayouVenteux
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 775
Age: 63
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 3:26 pm
Location: Ascension Parish, Louisiana (30.3 N 91.0 W)

#10 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:37 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
feederband wrote:Rain ...What is that? I remember reading about that once... :lol:


It is this clear liquid stuff that falls from the sky. I have heard of this once in a book I read a long time ago. In fact if I ever saw this "rain" phenomenon that you talking about I'm not sure what I would do.


I read somewhere recently that it's the same substance that comes out of the faucets.

How cool would it be to see that stuff coming from the friggin' SKY of all places!?
0 likes   

MiamiensisWx

#11 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed Apr 05, 2006 12:40 pm

HURAKAN wrote:LONG TIME NO SEE!!!


I think you meant to say, "long time, no sea"... a sea of rain, that is!
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#12 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Apr 05, 2006 1:13 pm

BayouVenteux wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
feederband wrote:Rain ...What is that? I remember reading about that once... :lol:


It is this clear liquid stuff that falls from the sky. I have heard of this once in a book I read a long time ago. In fact if I ever saw this "rain" phenomenon that you talking about I'm not sure what I would do.


I read somewhere recently that it's the same substance that comes out of the faucets.

How cool would it be to see that stuff coming from the friggin' SKY of all places!?


Your kidding me!?!? That is the same stuff? I would have to see it to believe it. I mean come on that's like saying the earth is not flat or something. What other intersting theories does anyone else have regarding this phenomenon called "rain"?
0 likes   

Gtmalacd

#13 Postby Gtmalacd » Wed Apr 05, 2006 2:03 pm

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:You are going the wrong way with your logic, gtma. You don't look at an effect that is caused by many things and say "well this must be because there is x occurring." You look directly at the cause.


Doctorhurricane 2003, you seem to have failed in your analysis or you do not truly know what is a statement and a hypothetical. I posed this hypothetical just as a question. I never said that it was a EL NINO event. I asked if the constant badgering of rain was a sign of one.
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#14 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 2:52 pm

I'ts like Florida and California traded climates. California has alot of rain and Florida has none. I want a trade back.
0 likes   

User avatar
feederband
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3423
Joined: Wed Oct 01, 2003 6:21 pm
Location: Lakeland Fl

#15 Postby feederband » Wed Apr 05, 2006 3:10 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
BayouVenteux wrote:
SouthFloridawx wrote:
feederband wrote:Rain ...What is that? I remember reading about that once... :lol:


It is this clear liquid stuff that falls from the sky. I have heard of this once in a book I read a long time ago. In fact if I ever saw this "rain" phenomenon that you talking about I'm not sure what I would do.


I read somewhere recently that it's the same substance that comes out of the faucets.

How cool would it be to see that stuff coming from the friggin' SKY of all places!?


Your kidding me!?!? That is the same stuff? I would have to see it to believe it. I mean come on that's like saying the earth is not flat or something. What other intersting theories does anyone else have regarding this phenomenon called "rain"?


Well they say the rain usally falls out of something..I think its called clouds or something like that..My grandma used to have a picture of one don't know if she still has it....Can you imagine something in the sky besides a bird or a plane? Crazy huh...
0 likes   

DoctorHurricane2003

#16 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 3:44 pm

Usually, G, when people pose a hypothetical situation, they state it as such as to avoid confusion. Otherwise, it is taken as if you are asking if the rain in CA was a sign of there being an El Niño literally.
0 likes   

User avatar
Aslkahuna
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 4550
Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 5:00 pm
Location: Tucson, AZ
Contact:

#17 Postby Aslkahuna » Wed Apr 05, 2006 4:30 pm

It doesn't necessarily require an El Niño to bring heavy rain to CA particularly Northern CA. The Southern part of CA sees more of a correlation with ENSO warm phase events but the Northern half of the State has a much poorer correlation. The 1955-56 winter was very wet with massive flooding in CA north of Pt. Conception yet that was very much a La Niña winter.

Steve
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#18 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:47 pm

Probably the pattern change from zonal to highly amplified. This leaves a SE ridge and a western trough. This is why we have had so many severe wx outbreaks, a stronger Bermuda High than usual, the snowless March in the northeast, the coldest March in SFO, and the heavy rains here.

An El Nino strengthens the subtropical jet which can caused a prolonged transfer of tropical moisture here, and that is why it rains so much during El Nino. However, there are other factors that can cause a transfer of subtropical moisture, such as the MJO.
0 likes   

User avatar
benny
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:09 am
Location: Miami

#19 Postby benny » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:50 pm

No particular weather events says definitively that "this is el nino or la nina"... what those SST changes would do is effect the probabilities of certain events... load the dice in a way to make some events more probable than others. Having a large trough in the west in April happens almost every year...
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#20 Postby wxmann_91 » Wed Apr 05, 2006 6:56 pm

benny wrote:No particular weather events says definitively that "this is el nino or la nina"... what those SST changes would do is effect the probabilities of certain events... load the dice in a way to make some events more probable than others. Having a large trough in the west in April happens almost every year...


Not really... sometimes you can be stuck in this pattern but instead the trough parks over the East and the ridge parks over the West... that shuts out severe weather like it did last May.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Tak5, wileytheartist and 70 guests