What Numbers Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray will have in April?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray numbers at April Outlook

They will upgrade the numbers
13
54%
They will leave the same numbers
8
33%
They will downgrade the numbers
3
13%
 
Total votes: 24

Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146219
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

What Numbers Philip J. Klotzbach/Dr Gray will have in April?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Tue Mar 21, 2006 6:24 pm

At the December outlook for the 2006 season they had 17/9/5.Will they leave those numbers the same,up them or downgrade them?

I say they will leave them the same 17/9/5 of December outlook.
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#2 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Mar 21, 2006 6:58 pm

i say he will bump his numbers up a bit due to the la nina factor...20/10/6
0 likes   

User avatar
senorpepr
Military Met/Moderator
Military Met/Moderator
Posts: 12542
Age: 43
Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
Location: Mackenbach, Germany
Contact:

#3 Postby senorpepr » Tue Mar 21, 2006 7:16 pm

They will upgrade to eleventy billion--or something like that.

[I wonder who caught the reference I just made...]
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#4 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Mar 21, 2006 7:44 pm

He will down grade to around 15 or 16 named storms.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxmann_91
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8013
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
Location: Southern California
Contact:

#5 Postby wxmann_91 » Tue Mar 21, 2006 7:47 pm

Same if not less.
0 likes   

User avatar
Pearl River
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 825
Age: 66
Joined: Fri Dec 09, 2005 6:07 pm
Location: SELa

#6 Postby Pearl River » Tue Mar 21, 2006 7:48 pm

Senorpepr wrote

They will upgrade to eleventy billion--or something like that.

[I wonder who caught the reference I just made...]


:hehe:
0 likes   

User avatar
ROCK
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9490
Age: 54
Joined: Tue Aug 17, 2004 7:30 am
Location: Kemah, Texas

#7 Postby ROCK » Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:32 pm

They will keep the same numbers.....
0 likes   

User avatar
dhweather
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6199
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2004 9:29 pm
Location: Heath, TX
Contact:

#8 Postby dhweather » Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:33 pm

They'll leave the numbers the same, except make them all a new category 9

I suspect they will leave them the same with the cool waters
off the African coast.

BUT, the very warm Gulf may lead them to move up a little.
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#9 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:38 pm

senorpepr wrote:They will upgrade to eleventy billion--or something like that.

[I wonder who caught the reference I just made...]


OMG senor really


:roflmao:
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 23022
Age: 68
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

#10 Postby wxman57 » Tue Mar 21, 2006 8:57 pm

I think 17 is too high. It's unlikely the same trof will set up over the western Caribbean in 2006. We may only have 1 or 2 named storms prior to August this season. I expect perhaps 5 in August and 5-6 in September and a few stragglers in Oct/Nov. With the cooling east Pacific, the Bermuda high may be a bit stronger this year, increasing the shear in the deep tropics - at least countering the enhancing factor of La Nina. Plus, the Atlantic SSTs are a little lower this year.
0 likes   

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#11 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Mar 21, 2006 9:25 pm

wxman57 wrote:I think 17 is too high. It's unlikely the same trof will set up over the western Caribbean in 2006. We may only have 1 or 2 named storms prior to August this season. I expect perhaps 5 in August and 5-6 in September and a few stragglers in Oct/Nov. With the cooling east Pacific, the Bermuda high may be a bit stronger this year, increasing the shear in the deep tropics - at least countering the enhancing factor of La Nina. Plus, the Atlantic SSTs are a little lower this year.


Agree with that...I say 13 named storms this year. Last year was a event that may only happen once ever 500 years.
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34095
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#12 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Mar 21, 2006 9:51 pm

Slight increase to 18 or 19.
0 likes   

User avatar
GeneratorPower
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1648
Age: 45
Joined: Sun Dec 18, 2005 11:48 pm
Location: Huntsville, AL

#13 Postby GeneratorPower » Tue Mar 21, 2006 10:49 pm

Shall we call this the "Dr. Gray's Forecast Forecast Thread"?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 50 guests