Note: I kept The entire Florida Peninsula under high warning because of the standings of it. I find a strong ridge will set itself like last year. This time I believe perhaps it will be a little more erratic and allow a few more storms to project into the Carolinas which shows the high rating there. I left the Northern Gulf Coast at high risks for landfall because I believe we may see at least one more Katrina/Rita like track that could roll through the keys and affect the Gulf Coast. I can see many storms affecting New England and such up North but, I don't expect many if any landfalls in that area so nope I don't see another infamous New York strike here. I believe the Ridge will split perhaps enough to allow for strikes there.
However, I think the Atlantic like last year will see some shear values in the Atlantic despite the La Nina. This will probably keep any strong storms going into the Carolinas probably weak storms which will spare them significant destruction. I think the shear values however, will weaken near the African Coast and allow a slight more active Cape Verde Season with maybe 3-4 long tracking systems.
I believe for the most part subtropical systems like Zeta and Epsilon won't be that prominent. I think shear values will increase enough in the Central Atlantic late in the year which will weaken these systems. Also, I believe weaker SST's will stop this.
However, stronger SST's and probably weaker shear values in the Carribean, GOM and East Coast will allow for home grown systems just like in 2005.
And Finally, my predictions on storm activity, first I would like to note my predictions in full:
2 Unnamed Depressions
9 Tropical Storms
15 Hurricanes (6 Majors)
--------------------------------
26 total (24 Named)
So finally to sum it up, I believe we'll see a high amount of landfalls likely still in the GOM and increased activity on the East Coast. I believe also we may see an increased amount of fishes but probably only a few above 2005.
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just messing...very nice...
