SE Indian Ocean=Invest 96S

[cycloneye]

The active Southern Hemisphere continues to form systems and this disturbance is located just in the northwest coast of Australia.

P.K. or anyone who knows where do I go to look for information about these Southern Hemisphere systems?

[HURAKAN]

I think it's the same as Invest 94S.

[WindRunner]

No, after checking, it's further south (unless that is somehow centered at 13.1S), though that was my first thought too.

[cycloneye]

I think it's the same as Invest 94S.

Really Sandy?

[WindRunner]

You can get the official website of all of the TC centers in the world from here by clicking on the dot the represents them, that will take you to their website.

http://severe.worldweather.org/

Information (when/if it becomes available) can be found on the BoM's page:

http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/


But the BoM has no info up on 96S right now/yet, only 94S (the "tropical low" listed on their page).

[HURAKAN]

[WindRunner]

I can kind of see two seperate areas there, but they do look to be the same - wonder what's happened with the NRL?

[P.K.]

The location given is that of the developing low in the other thread.

SITUATION
At 1800UTC a tropical low was located within 40 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal eight degrees South [13.8S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal one degrees East [114.1E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.

[cycloneye]

[img] http://mirror.bom.gov.au/radar/IDR293.g ... 0227094331[/img]

A radar image of the NW coast of Australia.

Thanks WindRunner for those links.

[cycloneye]

The location given is that of the developing low in the other thread.

SITUATION
At 1800UTC a tropical low was located within 40 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal eight degrees South [13.8S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal one degrees East [114.1E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.

Umm now I see it's in that same area.

[WindRunner]

The location given is that of the developing low in the other thread.

SITUATION
At 1800UTC a tropical low was located within 40 nautical miles of
Latitude thirteen decimal eight degrees South [13.8S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal one degrees East [114.1E]
Recent movement south at 8 knots.
Maximum winds 30 knots.
Central pressure 997 hPa.

I know it's the same system, but look at where 13.8S is on the sat pic in cycloneye's first post. Could it have traveled that far (2.1S) in 4 hours?

[cycloneye]

Now I am confused.Is there only one system or there are two systems in that general area? Well NRL issued a new invest 96S meaning it is another separated disturbance but the confusion dominates.I hope that this is all cleared soon.

[P.K.]

Well based on the BoM advisory you'd have thought it was 96S, but it is best to keep discussion on that system in the thread we already have.

94S - 20060226.2200.meteo5.x.ir1km_bw.94SINVEST.20kts-1000mb-163S-1146E.jpg

96S - 20060226.2200.meteo5.x.ir1km_bw.96SINVEST.15kts-NAmb-133S-1142E.jpg

[Yarrah]

Isn't it this potential system?

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Sunday 26 February 2006

A tropical low, 1005 hPa, is situated in the Arafura Sea. At 11am it was near
latitude 8S, longitude 133E, about 370km north northeast of the Coburg
Peninsula. The low is expected to move slowly towards the west or southwest into
the Timor Sea by Thursday.

The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Monday: Low
Tuesday: Low
Wednesday: Moderate

NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.

DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.

[WindRunner]

Isn't it this potential system?

TROPICAL CYCLONE OUTLOOK
FOR THE AREA BETWEEN LONGITUDES 125 EAST - 142 EAST
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:15 pm CST Sunday 26 February 2006

A tropical low, 1005 hPa, is situated in the Arafura Sea. At 11am it was near
latitude 8S, longitude 133E, about 370km north northeast of the Coburg
Peninsula. The low is expected to move slowly towards the west or southwest into
the Timor Sea by Thursday.

The potential for development into a Tropical cyclone over the next few days is
estimated to be:
Monday: Low
Tuesday: Low
Wednesday: Moderate

NOTE: Development Potential is an estimate of the probability of tropical
cyclone development for each day... Low = 10% or less, Moderate = 20% - 40%,
High = 50% or more.

DARWIN Regional Forecasting Centre.

Ummm, this looks like a completely different third one on the other side of Australia.

Now isn't this getting fun!

[cycloneye]

Another view of 94S or 96S whatever it is.

http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDE00902.loop.shtml

Loop of same image above.

[cycloneye]

Well NRL took out 96S from the list so now we can continue to post about ths system at the HURAKAN thread about 94S and the confusion is over.Now I will lock this one.

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi