Where will Alberto Form?

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Where will Alberto form?

Gulf of Mexico
14
20%
Western Caribbean
22
31%
Central Caribbean
7
10%
Bay of Campeche
4
6%
Western Atlantic
15
21%
Central Atlantic
2
3%
Eastern Caribbean
7
10%
 
Total votes: 71

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cycloneye
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Where will Alberto Form?

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Feb 03, 2006 3:40 pm

I say in the Western Caribbean.
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#2 Postby EDR1222 » Fri Feb 03, 2006 4:03 pm

I think with the forecasted La-Nina event that things might shift further toward the east, so I am going to say the Eastern Carribean. Of course, I guess it is not really known if the La-Nina event will last past Spring.
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#3 Postby Epsilon_Fan » Fri Feb 03, 2006 4:10 pm

I'd say the Western Atlantic off Florida
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ROCK
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Re: Where will Alberto Form?

#4 Postby ROCK » Fri Feb 03, 2006 4:21 pm

cycloneye wrote:I say in the Western Caribbean.



I concur...
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#5 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:00 pm

I say atlantic, western or central, may be development from an extratropical system.
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#6 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:01 pm

I think it forms just east of Miami and then slowly moves up the east coast of FL. I would predict that this happens the 2nd or 3rd week of June. Max intensity will probably be around 75mph.
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#7 Postby tornadochaser1986 » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:22 pm

i say western carribean b/c there was a tropicall wave a few weeks ago according to my friend that was there but it hit the yuchatan before it could develop that gives me proof that the area may be favorable to develop
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#8 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:34 pm

tornadochaser1986 wrote:i say western carribean b/c there was a tropicall wave a few weeks ago according to my friend that was there but it hit the yuchatan before it could develop that gives me proof that the area may be favorable to develop


mmm hmmm
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#9 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:36 pm

tornadochaser1986 wrote:i say western carribean b/c there was a tropicall wave a few weeks ago according to my friend that was there but it hit the yuchatan before it could develop that gives me proof that the area may be favorable to develop


That's right, one day more and we would have seen "Alberto"...
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Jim Cantore

Re: Where will Alberto Form?

#10 Postby Jim Cantore » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:46 pm

cycloneye wrote:I say in the Western Caribbean.


ditto

sometime in may/early june
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Scorpion

#11 Postby Scorpion » Fri Feb 03, 2006 5:59 pm

BOC
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#12 Postby cycloneye » Sat Feb 11, 2006 3:04 pm

Those who haved not voted yet in this poll here come and do so.
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#13 Postby Audrey2Katrina » Sat Feb 11, 2006 4:06 pm

Central Caribbean here... but lots of logic for one further to the east; I'm simply going on history of early forming storms which seem to favor formation in the eastern Atlantic and the Caribbean at the beginning of the season.

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#14 Postby KWT » Sat Feb 11, 2006 4:39 pm

I've gone for Western Caribbean, but really anywher ein that part of the world could see something I reckon first.
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#15 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Sat Feb 11, 2006 7:28 pm

Western Atlantic either along an old front, or a transitioning extratropical disturbance, and I would guess before June 1st.
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CHRISTY

#16 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 10, 2006 10:04 pm

when will alberto form?well take a look at this form the storm carribean.

http://stormcarib.com/climatology/first1886.htm
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#17 Postby george_r_1961 » Mon Apr 10, 2006 10:29 pm

Hybridstorm_November2001 wrote:Western Atlantic either along an old front, or a transitioning extratropical disturbance, and I would guess before June 1st.


Agreed 100%
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#18 Postby MGC » Mon Apr 10, 2006 10:47 pm

Late June, Western Carb. GOM storm....MGC
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#19 Postby Incident_MET » Mon Apr 10, 2006 11:18 pm

This is a good question as many first season systems have formed on the tail end of fronts...which would argue for a more north location. The other argument is the warm water over the Carib lends itself to more southern location. Ill throw my dart at the Gulf of Mex.
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#20 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Apr 10, 2006 11:30 pm

I'll say just south of the yuchatan in the western gulf around mid may 14th-20th.
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