I was looking for a correlation between unusually warm GOM deep water temps (buoy 42003) and future hurricane activity. I couldn't find anything too intriguing, but posted the data anyway. 2005 (27/14/7), 2003 (14/7/3), 2000 (14/8/3), 1998 (14/10/3), 1996 and 1995 had a water temp at or above 25.3. The other years weren’t even 24C.
GOM Hurricane (Genesis/ Hits / Major Hits):
2005 (You know!!!!!)
2003 (Erika / Claudette, Erika / None)
2000 (Gordon / Keith / None)
1998 (Earl / Georges, Earl / Georges)
1996 (None / Dolly / None)
1995 (None / Erin, Opal, Roxanne / Opal)
2006 01 11 18 160 4.0 5.0 0.9 7 MM MM 1019.6 23.7 25.3 19.2 MM -1.1 MM
Past January 11ths @18z
2005 01 11 18 00 107 5.3 6.6 1.01 7.69 5.00 155 1020.1 23.5 26.0 15.2 99.0 99.00
2004 01 11 18 00 039 8.6 11.1 1.89 6.67 5.26 358 1027.6 16.0 23.0 8.3 99.0 99.00
2003 No Data, but 25-26 only days before
2002 01 11 18 109 2.0 2.6 0.38 5.00 4.37 122 1021.4 21.8 22.2 10.8 99.0 99.00
2001 01 11 18 130 6.6 7.7 1.09 6.25 4.38 108 1021.0 20.9 21.8 16.3 99.0 99.00
2000 01 11 18 41 4.0 5.0 0.57 6.25 4.63 274 1020.5 24.6 26.3 999.0 99.0
1999 01 11 18 53 8.5 12.0 1.87 7.14 5.41 18 1025.2 17.2 23.7 999.0 99.0
1998 01 11 18 63 7.2 8.6 1.09 4.76 3.87 84 1019.3 999.0 25.8 999.0 99.0
1997 01 11 18 29 1.3 3.0 99.00 99.00 99.00 999 1017.0 19.0 23.9 999.0 99.0
1996 01 11 18 304 3.8 4.8 .64 4.00 3.91 111 1016.9 21.5 25.5 999.0 99.0
1995 No Data , but 26.0C on the 21st
Spare Time Research
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