Bad News: December SST Anomalies out

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DoctorHurricane2003

Bad News: December SST Anomalies out

#1 Postby DoctorHurricane2003 » Sat Jan 07, 2006 3:22 pm

Code: Select all

YEAR  MO   SST      ANOM
2004  12   27.56    0.95
2005   1   26.84    0.99
2005   2   26.52    1.06
2005   3   26.63    1.18 
2005   4   26.75    0.96
2005   5   27.41    1.18
2005   6   27.82    1.19
2005   7   28.06    1.03
2005   8   28.46    0.92
2005   9   28.75    0.86
2005  10   28.57    0.72
2005  11   27.95    0.54
2005  12   27.37    0.76


The December SST Anomalies for the North Atlantic have been calculated as increasing from +0.54 C to +0.76 C. In terms of trends that we need to watch for the 2006 season...we need to find out if this is just a 'bump' in the road on the way down to decreased anomalies, if the SSTAs have stabilized, or if they are again back on the increase. We CANNOT answer this question right now...only the next few months will tell.
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#2 Postby hurricanetrack » Sat Jan 07, 2006 3:44 pm

Thanks for keeping up with that info. It will all matter more and more as we get closer to June and esp. Aug/Sept/Oct. Good stuff there.
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Re: Bad News: December SST Anomalies out

#3 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Jan 08, 2006 11:34 am

DoctorHurricane2003 wrote:

Code: Select all

YEAR  MO   SST      ANOM
2004  12   27.56    0.95
2005   1   26.84    0.99
2005   2   26.52    1.06
2005   3   26.63    1.18 
2005   4   26.75    0.96
2005   5   27.41    1.18
2005   6   27.82    1.19
2005   7   28.06    1.03
2005   8   28.46    0.92
2005   9   28.75    0.86
2005  10   28.57    0.72
2005  11   27.95    0.54
2005  12   27.37    0.76


The December SST Anomalies for the North Atlantic have been calculated as increasing from +0.54 C to +0.76 C. In terms of trends that we need to watch for the 2006 season...we need to find out if this is just a 'bump' in the road on the way down to decreased anomalies, if the SSTAs have stabilized, or if they are again back on the increase. We CANNOT answer this question right now...only the next few months will tell.


Grrr! Hopes for a downward trend are placed at a temporary
setbacks..we'll have to watch the next few months :(
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#4 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Jan 08, 2006 1:46 pm

I think temperature trends will be a big part of this-
record warmth in middle of US this week
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#5 Postby vacanechaser » Sun Jan 08, 2006 2:12 pm

good job staying on top of that....


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#6 Postby gtalum » Sun Jan 08, 2006 4:38 pm

Well the anomaly is smaller than it was in December 2004. So it's not all bad news.
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#7 Postby A1A » Tue Jan 10, 2006 12:27 pm

I haven't heard any comments about the impact of more of the Gulf Stream recurving more South - seems like that would raise SSTs and make for more potent tropical activity.
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#8 Postby drezee » Tue Jan 10, 2006 1:09 pm

2004 11 28.25 0.84
2004 12 27.56 0.95

started going up in Dec last year...
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#9 Postby MiamiensisWx » Tue Jan 10, 2006 1:32 pm

Image

Big upwards jump now occurring in Atlantic SST anomalies since last week!
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#10 Postby whereverwx » Tue Jan 10, 2006 2:31 pm

Whoa, amazing how much things can change in a week.
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#11 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Tue Jan 10, 2006 2:49 pm

That is a fairly large jump in ssts
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