97L Invest,E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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97L Invest,E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#1 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:19 am

Image

This is for real not a fake.Alberto or Zeta? The race is on as time is running out for 2005.
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:52 am, edited 6 times in total.
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#2 Postby TheEuropean » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:24 am

May be a storm later today or tomorrow:

Image


TWD 7am:

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

1006 MB GALE LOW IS NEAR 24N36W IN THE NE ATLC MOVING WNW 5-10
KT. WELL-PLACED BUOY OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE CENTER INDICATE A
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006.7 MB AT 8Z WHEN THE SYSTEM PASSED...
FALLING RAPIDLY FROM 0Z AND 10.1 MB IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. FIRST
VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN BANDS AROUND
THE CENTER AND IT IS NOT INCONCEIVABLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD
BECOME "ZETA" BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR. SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN MODEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN INCREASE THEREAFTER.
SSTS ARE MARGINAL.. ABOUT 23-24C BUT COOL 200 MB TEMPS COULD
HELP TO BALANCE THE BORDERLINE SSTS. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0752Z
INDICATED WINDS OF GALE FORCE.. PROBABLY TO NEAR 40 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100 NM IN THE NRN
SEMICIRCLE AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 150 NM IN THE
SE QUADRANT.
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#3 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:25 am

Image

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

1006 MB GALE LOW IS NEAR 24N36W IN THE NE ATLC MOVING WNW 5-10
KT. WELL-PLACED BUOY OBSERVATIONS NEAR THE CENTER INDICATE A
MINIMUM PRESSURE OF 1006.7 MB AT 8Z WHEN THE SYSTEM PASSED...
FALLING RAPIDLY FROM 0Z AND 10.1 MB IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. FIRST
VISIBLE IMAGES SHOW DEEP CONVECTION ORGANIZING IN BANDS AROUND
THE CENTER AND IT IS NOT INCONCEIVABLE THAT THIS SYSTEM COULD
BECOME "ZETA" BEFORE THE END OF THE YEAR. SHEAR IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN MODEST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS THEN INCREASE THEREAFTER.
SSTS ARE MARGINAL.. ABOUT 23-24C BUT COOL 200 MB TEMPS COULD
HELP TO BALANCE THE BORDERLINE SSTS. A QUIKSCAT PASS AT 0752Z
INDICATED WINDS OF GALE FORCE.. PROBABLY TO NEAR 40 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 100 NM IN THE NRN
SEMICIRCLE AND WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE IS WITHIN 150 NM IN THE
SE QUADRANT.


THAT'S THE 7:05 AM TWD AND I PROMISE THAT IT ISN'T ONE OF MY JOKES! THERE IS NO WORD TO DESCRIBE WHAT MAY HAPPEN IN THE NEXT HOURS TO COME!!!
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#4 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:26 am

30/0545 UTC 24.3N 36.4W T1.0/1.5 97 -- Atlantic Ocean


DVORAK SAYS TROPICAL!
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#5 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:31 am

Sandy Y tu que posteaste aquello sobre los inocentes sobre Zeta y mira ahora. :D

Sandy after you posted that joke look now. :D
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#6 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:32 am

cycloneye wrote:Sandy Y tu que posteaste aquello sobre los inocentes sobre Zeta y mira ahora. :D

Sandy after you posted that joke look now. :D


A veces se da lo que tu pides. :lol:

Sometimes they give you what you ask for. :lol:
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#7 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:36 am

Image

BY THE WAY, I THINK IT'S TRYING TO WRAP AROUND ITS CENTER. LET SEE HOW LONG THE NHC WAITS TO CLASSIFY THIS SYSTEM WHICH HAS A GOOD SHOT IN BEING "ZETA" RATHER THAN "ALBERTO."
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#8 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:38 am

Image

LET ME ADD SOMETHING MORE. THE SYSTEM IS SURROUNDED BY A VERY MOIST ENVIRONMENT WHICH MAY HELP IT EVOLVE!
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#9 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:42 am

Image

LIGHT WINDSHEAR AROUND THE SYSTEM, NEAR 10 - 20 KNOTS!
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#10 Postby P.K. » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:50 am

Wow, who said the season was over????? :lol:
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#11 Postby HURAKAN » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:57 am

Image

LOOKING REALLY GOOD!
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#12 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 30, 2005 6:59 am

Looks like a subtropical storm to me...Wahooooooooooooooooooooooooooo!!!!!
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#13 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:06 am

I think it will likely be upgraded before 5pm...But the nhc could wait to start the 2006 season.
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#14 Postby HurricaneGirl » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:12 am

:eek: Holy Crap!! :eek: What on God's green earth is going on?????
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#15 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:14 am

Less than 40 hours to be Alberto so the race is on.But as I see it now it may be Zeta before 2005 goes.
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#16 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:17 am

Sab shows it to be a tropical cyclone...Come on Zeta!!!!
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#17 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:20 am

Jim I believe 100 percent into your thinking. The Sun/space controls all weather. The Atmosphere gets controled from space/sun. This could improve forecasting a million fold!!!! Good Job Jim!
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:23 am

30/1145 UTC 24.7N 36.4W T2.5/2.5 97 -- Atlantic Ocean


Wow!! a Tropical Storm according to SSD dvorak.
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#19 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:25 am

It looks by that like we got Zeta in the bag!
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#20 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Dec 30, 2005 7:57 am

I thought the nhc went home or was sleeping after that long hurricane season. But they watching it in almost January.

:eek:
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