SW Caribbean - New 11:30 Tropical Weather Outlook

[Hyperstorm]

I'm surprised I haven't seen this posted anywhere:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151618
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN... LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT
LAND AREAS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA... ALTHOUGH ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE GRADUAL DUE TO ITS POOR ORGANIZATION AND
ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... THIS SYSTEM
COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO NICARAGUA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE RAINS COULD LEAD TO LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

There will certainly be favorable conditions for it to develop, but it is very broad right now. It will be very interesting to see how much of an interaction we can get between this area of disturbed weather and Tropical Depression #27.

[SouthFloridawx]

this is going to get interesting...

[caneman]

I'm surprised I haven't seen this posted anywhere:

000
ABNT20 KNHC 151618
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EST TUE NOV 15 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWENTY-SEVEN... LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND ADJACENT
LAND AREAS. UPPER LEVEL WINDS APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION IN THIS AREA... ALTHOUGH ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BE GRADUAL DUE TO ITS POOR ORGANIZATION AND
ITS PROXIMITY TO LAND. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT... THIS SYSTEM
COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA FROM PANAMA TO NICARAGUA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
THESE RAINS COULD LEAD TO LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB

There will certainly be favorable conditions for it to develop, but it is very broad right now. It will be very interesting to see how much of an interaction we can get between this area of disturbed weather and Tropical Depression #27.

Yeah, this area loks far more interesting to me than said TD27. Looks to be really coming together and if it stays off land, I believe this is the area to watch in the coming days.

[skysummit]

I was just looking at this area closely. There seems to be 2 or maybe even 3 areas of rotation at the lower levels. Of course, it could just be the cloud gods playing tricks on me.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

TD 27 may pull this convection into it...or new centers
of rotation may develop

Shear is decreasing in this area of the Caribbean...

[HURAKAN]

Tropical Weather Outlook

Statement as of 5:30 PM EST on November 15, 2005

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico...
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Twenty-Seven... located about 265 miles south-southeast
of san Domingo in the Dominican Republic.

Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
Caribbean Sea and adjacent land areas are associated with a broad
area of low pressure. Upper-level winds are conducive for slow
development of this system over the next couple of days.
Regardless of whether or not the system becomes a tropical
cyclone...locally heavy rainfall is possible over portions of
Central America from Panama to Nicaragua during the next couple of
days...and these rains could produce life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides.

Elsewhere... tropical storm formation is not expected through
Wednesday.

Forecaster Franklin