Invest 93L Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Locked
Message
Author
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146228
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Invest 93L Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:13 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (AL932005) ON 20051112 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
051112 1800 051113 0600 051113 1800 051114 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 9.6N 80.9W 10.5N 82.0W 11.2N 83.3W 11.7N 85.0W
BAMM 9.6N 80.9W 10.3N 82.1W 10.8N 83.6W 11.1N 85.1W
A98E 9.6N 80.9W 10.1N 81.2W 10.5N 82.0W 10.6N 82.8W
LBAR 9.6N 80.9W 10.5N 81.3W 12.0N 81.7W 13.5N 82.2W
SHIP 25KTS 27KTS 31KTS 36KTS
DSHP 25KTS 27KTS 31KTS 36KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
051114 1800 051115 1800 051116 1800 051117 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 12.3N 86.8W 13.4N 90.8W 14.5N 94.7W 16.4N 98.6W
BAMM 11.5N 86.7W 11.9N 89.6W 11.7N 92.9W 12.0N 97.8W
A98E 10.9N 83.4W 11.8N 84.3W 12.5N 86.2W 12.8N 89.1W
LBAR 14.7N 82.4W 16.7N 82.4W 17.7N 81.4W 19.1N 80.0W
SHIP 43KTS 54KTS 58KTS 52KTS
DSHP 43KTS 54KTS 58KTS 52KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 9.6N LONCUR = 80.9W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 3KT
LATM12 = 9.0N LONM12 = 80.9W DIRM12 = 360DEG SPDM12 = 3KT
LATM24 = 8.6N LONM24 = 80.9W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

This is for real not a test. :)
Last edited by cycloneye on Thu Nov 17, 2005 10:51 pm, edited 28 times in total.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#2 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:17 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Brent
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 38118
Age: 37
Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
Contact:
Contact Brent

#3 Postby Brent » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:18 pm

:eek:
0 likes   
#neversummer
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#4 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:19 pm

We will get to see what GFDL and FSU MODEL'S think in the next model runs. Will be interesting to see
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
WindRunner
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5806
Age: 34
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
Contact:
Contact WindRunner

#5 Postby WindRunner » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:20 pm

Here . . . . . we . . . . . go!
0 likes   
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#6 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:20 pm

Brent wrote::eek:

What is so shocking about this? Recon was announced as possible, TWO was getting more agressive, we should have all known this was coming very soon...

Now I'm just waiting for the FL posters to say its coming toward them :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#7 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:21 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Brent wrote::eek:

What is so shocking about this? Recon was announced as possible, TWO was getting more agressive, we should have all known this was coming very soon...

Now I'm just waiting for the FL posters to say its coming toward them :wink:


:D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
windycity
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 461
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 6:45 pm
Location: P.B.county,Fl.
Contact:
Contact windycity

#8 Postby windycity » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:29 pm

ok,i gotta ask. whats the chance of a willma type track? does anyone have sst in area of intrest? this year has me on edge. 8 days without power will do that to ya.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
jusforsean
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 395
Joined: Wed Nov 09, 2005 8:22 am
Location: South Florida

Florida Poster

#9 Postby jusforsean » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:33 pm

I am a florida poter just had the red cross show up today to evaluate my home once she saw the outside she called it a wash , I am still waiting on Fema and the Insurance guy is coming tommorrow and he mentioned that he might total the house. I am not having a great day if they total the house then what???? Well if we are in the cone again any cone at all all of south floirda is screwed because we all have matching tarps and piles of debris. What a season :)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cjrciadt
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1616
Joined: Mon Aug 22, 2005 1:11 pm
Location: Kissimmee, FL

#10 Postby cjrciadt » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:37 pm

Image
Plenty of moisture in the tropics.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

#11 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:42 pm

WindRunner wrote:Here . . . . . we . . . . . go!
...AGAIN... :coaster:
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#12 Postby Scorpion » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:44 pm

If anything it will follow a Beta track or miss FL all-together to the east. Another name down at least.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

#13 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:45 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Brent wrote::eek:

What is so shocking about this? Recon was announced as possible, TWO was getting more agressive, we should have all known this was coming very soon...

Now I'm just waiting for the FL posters to say its coming toward them :wink:
OMG, its coming towards me, no, wait, yea its still coming towards me, its veered away, its coming again, oh, its doing something weird now, oh, its going thru an ERC, oh, never mind, the eyes just getting smaller, oh, I dont live in Florida, never mind, carry on... :lol: :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#14 Postby mike815 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:47 pm

I got something right this year. This morning i was the first person to put on the pole when will the area become an invest. Yeah now will it hit cuba and maybe south florida than out to see its way to early to tell. :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
brunota2003
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9476
Age: 34
Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
Contact:
Contact brunota2003

#15 Postby brunota2003 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:51 pm

And the floridans saying it could hit us has begun, mike f is out to an early start in the race to end all races... :lol: It looks like there was a wreck before the others even got out and the red flag has come out, mike will still be in the lead after this break... :P :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#16 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:52 pm

jkt21787 wrote:
Brent wrote::eek:

What is so shocking about this? Recon was announced as possible, TWO was getting more agressive, we should have all known this was coming very soon...

Now I'm just waiting for the FL posters to say its coming toward them :wink:



I got something right this year. This morning i was the first person to put on the pole when will the area become an invest. Yeah now will it hit cuba and maybe south florida than out to see its way to early to tell. Very Happy


Too Funny!!!

:me?:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mike815
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1460
Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 8:21 am
Location: palm bay fl

#17 Postby mike815 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 2:54 pm

LOL good one! :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146228
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#18 Postby cycloneye » Sat Nov 12, 2005 3:00 pm

Well they were doing tests (AL81) in the past couple of days with the models until now when all is for real.

Now the question is if the tests about AL82 for the area east of the islands will become an invest too. :?: :?: :?: :?:
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Top
jkt21787
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2061
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:27 pm
Location: Memphis, TN

#19 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Nov 12, 2005 3:02 pm

Wow, that didn't take long at all...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#20 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sat Nov 12, 2005 3:03 pm

Image
0 likes   
Top
Locked

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 72 guests