Can Hurricanes strengthen over Everglades?

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LeeJet

Can Hurricanes strengthen over Everglades?

#1 Postby LeeJet » Sun Oct 23, 2005 12:48 pm

I am just wondering if they could, given the 90 degree water. Also, does anybody know what will happen to those people canoeing north of Flamingo in the Nat. Park, where nobody lives? Will that part of Fl see storm surge? My boss is there with some friends. He refused to leave and is enjoying the nature. Is he under threat? Last I heard, he was 10 miles up from Flamingo, and basically 2 miles from the ocean, surrounded by all those islands.
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birdwomn
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#2 Postby birdwomn » Sun Oct 23, 2005 1:04 pm

First: I am not a met, and I did not stay at a Holiday In Express last night, so this is only my opinion and recollection.

While some hurricanes have not lost strength over the glades, most do not gain strength without the nice warm water source of a major source, such as an ocean, gulf, or sea.

If you know someone who is out in the elements down there, that person is in for quite a rough several hours, more than likely. One benefit that they may have is that there are fewer bulidings. etc. so there will be less flying debris.

Personally, I would not stay outdoors during a storm like this.
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LeeJet

#3 Postby LeeJet » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:30 pm

anyone else?
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LeeJet

#4 Postby LeeJet » Sun Oct 23, 2005 8:31 pm

anyone else?
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coriolis
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#5 Postby coriolis » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:08 pm

I would be curious too. Compared to the ocean, the everglades are shallow. I don't know enough about the heat transfer mechanism, whether the heat that drives a cane just comes from top couple of feet of depth or whether the heat comes from tens or hundreds of feet of depth. There has been talk about "upwelling" in the ocean weakening a cane, but I think that phenomena involves water at depths of hundreds, or even thousands of feet.

I would think that it would weaken less over the everglades, though. How's that?
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#6 Postby Florida_brit » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:11 pm

Again am not a MET but I think they wouldn't necessary loose strenght over the glades. I know this year in FL there has been more rain than usual. Its towards the end of hurricane season so the glades have been given a drenching by the bands from other GoM hurricanes. Hence there would be some warm, humid water to be abosored by the hurricane wouldn't expect to see much weakening over the glades. But on the other hand as there isn't sufficnient water to see intensification.

Again I have little sympathy for anyone who wishes to be outside when their is potential for the eye of the hurricane to go over you! The area is under a mandatory evacuation for a reason!
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LeeJet

#7 Postby LeeJet » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:22 pm

Thanks
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