Hey all.. Gots another question

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Josephine96

Hey all.. Gots another question

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:28 pm

As you may recall I am now under an inland hurricane watch here..

Do you guys think I could at least see hurricane force gusts on Monday.. or even sustained..?

or is that only gonna happen if the track jerks north again..
Last edited by Josephine96 on Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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inotherwords
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#2 Postby inotherwords » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:30 pm

You know, you could post this under the general Wilma discussion and probably get a lot more responses. The mods would prefer we do this instead of opening new threads for every Wilma question as things get busier here.

You also have several Central FL threads going, where this could have been posted, too.

To answer your question, it all depends on how far out from the center the hurricane winds extend, where it makes landfall, and how much it deintensifies before it comes your way. We don't have answers to any of this yet but we should have a better idea on Sunday.
Last edited by inotherwords on Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby WindRunner » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:30 pm

Gusts . . . certainly possible IMO.

Sustained . . . what you said.
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Josephine96

#4 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:31 pm

A little snippy aint ya :lol: I don't have too many questions really, so what difference would it make..
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#5 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:32 pm

Thank you Wind Runner.. Just curious.. :wink:
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#6 Postby inotherwords » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:33 pm

Josephine96 wrote:A little snippy aint ya :lol: I don't have too many questions really, so what difference would it make..


I'm not being snippy. I'm just passing along what the moderators ask us to do each time there's a storm about to make landfall.
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#7 Postby TampaFl » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:33 pm

AMZ550-555-570-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-144-147-
230400-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
550 PM EDT SAT OCT 22 2005

...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA FROM TITUSVILLE
SOUTHWARD AND FOR ALL OF LAKE OKEECHOBEE...TROPICAL STORM WATCH
ISSUED FROM TITUSVILLE NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH...

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
AN INLAND HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA AND
ORANGE COUNTIES. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
LAKE...SEMINOLE AND INTERIOR VOLUSIA COUNTIES.


...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS THAT SHOULD BE TAKEN IN
BREVARD...VOLUSIA...SAINT LUCIE...MARTIN...INDIAN RIVER...
OKEECHOBEE...ORANGE...SEMINOLE...VOLUSIA AND LAKE COUNTIES.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 PM THE CENTER OF HURRICANE WILMA WAS LOCATED ABOUT 400 MILES
WEST SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA. WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
NEAR 2 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN
THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS. HURRICANE WILMA IS EXPECTED TO
APPROACH THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA VERY EARLY ON MONDAY AND THEN
ACCELERATE VERY RAPIDLY ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE DAY
ON MONDAY. IT IS VERY IMPORTANT THAT ALL PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY BE COMPLETED DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY AS
WEATHER WILL BE DETERIORATING RAPIDLY LATE ON SUNDAY. CHECK WITH
COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT FOR THE LOCATIONS OF SHELTERS ESPECIALLY
FOR THOSE WITH SPECIAL NEEDS AND PEOPLE LIVING IN MANUFACTURED OR
MOBILE HOMES. BREVARD COUNTY HAS ISSUED A MANDATORY EVACUATION OF
MOBILE AND MANUFACTURED HOMES AND WILL BE OPENING SHELTERS AT 10 AM
SUNDAY. DO NOT FOCUS ON THE EXACT TRACK OF WILMA AS THE AREA OF
GREATEST IMPACT WILL NOT BE KNOWN UNTIL MONDAY MORNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE WATCH AREA IMPLEMENT YOUR HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM PLANS AND
BE PREPARED FOR THE ISSUANCE OF WARNINGS LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY
SUNDAY.

...WIND IMPACTS...
THE GREATEST OVERALL THREAT FROM WILMA ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA
IS LIKELY TO BE FROM DESTRUCTIVE WIND. THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WIND FIELD IS VERY LARGE WITH WILMA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ACROSS OKEECHOBEE...OSCEOLA...MARTIN...SAINT
LUCIE AND INDIAN RIVER COUNTIES VERY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND SPREAD
ACROSS BREVARD...ORANGE...LAKE...SEMINOLE...AND VOLUSIA COUNTIES
AROUND 8 AM. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT
OKEECHOBEE...MARTIN...SOUTHERN OSCEOLA AND ST LUCIE COUNTIES BY MID
MORNING AND SPREAD INTO INDIAN RIVER AND SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTIES BY
LATE MORNING.


BECAUSE THE OF THE RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA WINDS WILL BE
HIGHEST IMMEDIATELY NEAR THE CENTER AND TO THE RIGHT. IT IS LIKELY A
BAND OF VERY DESTRUCTIVE WINDS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 100 MPH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING. THE LOCATIONS THAT MAY
EXPERIENCE THE GREATEST WIND IMPACT WILL NOT BE KNOWN UNTIL MONDAY
MORNING AND BY THAT TIME WILMA WILL BE MOVING VERY FAST. DO NOT FOCUS
ON THE EXACT CENTER TRACK. IF YOU ARE IN THE WATCH AREA TAKE
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON AND BEGIN
WEAKENING RAPIDLY BY LATE AFTERNOON AS WILMA CONTINUES TO MOVE
OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC.


...TORNADO IMPACTS...
LATE SEASON TROPICAL CYCLONES APPROACHING FLORIDA FROM THE GULF OF
MEXICO HAVE A GREATER RISK OF PRODUCING STRONG TORNADOES ESPECIALLY
WHEN INTERACTING WITH FRONTAL BOUNDARIES AND FAST FORWARD SPEED AS
IS ANTICIPATED WITH WILMA. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
OUTER RAINBANDS SUNDAY AND THEN TORNADO THREAT WILL INCREASE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT AND BE THE HIGHEST WITH THE APPROACH OF THE CENTRAL
RAINBANDS OF WILMA EARLY MONDAY AND CONTINUING INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. TORNADO WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED ON
SUNDAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR THE ISSUANCE OF TORNADO
WARNINGS SUNDAY AND MONDAY AND TAKE THEM SERIOUSLY.

...FLOOD IMPACTS...
BECAUSE OF THE EXPECTED FAST MOVEMENT OF WILMA WIDESPREAD EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED. HOWEVER...RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF SEVERAL
INCHES MAY OCCUR IN HEAVY SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN SUNDAY EVENING AHEAD OF WILMA. IN ADDITION...
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF BOUNDARIES SETTING UP IN OUTER RAINBANDS
THAT MAY LEAD TO TRAINING OF SHOWERS AND LOCALLY EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

WHILE IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PINPOINT EXACTLY WHERE THIS MIGHT OCCUR
...IT APPEARS THAT THE COASTAL COUNTIES WILL BE ESPECIALLY
VULNERABLE TO TRAINING OF SHOWERS RESULTING IN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS. IF YOU LIVE IN A FLOOD PRONE AREA OR IN AN AREA THAT ARE
ALREADY EXPERIENCING DRAINAGE ISSUES TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.


...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
BECAUSE OF THE ANTICIPATED RAPID MOVEMENT OF WILMA AND THE MOVEMENT
OFFSHORE INTO THE ATLANTIC STORM SURGE AND COASTAL FLOODING IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE OF GREAT IMPACT. A STORM TIDE OF PERHAPS 3 OR 4 FEET
IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE AROUND MID DAY MONDAY NORTH OF
WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MOVES OFFSHORE. EXTREMELY ROUGH SURF...
BEACH EROSION AND DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG ALL OF
EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA BEACHES AS WILMA MOVES OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC AND
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL DAYS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM FOR MARINERS DUE TO ITS RAPID ACCELERATION
FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON MONDAY. MARINE CONDITIONS WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS
DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY WITH BUILDING SEAS AND THEN EXTREMELY
DANGEROUS ON MONDAY AS WILMA MOVES INTO THE COASTAL WATERS PERHAPS
MOVING AS FAST AS 30 KNOTS. MARINERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
REGULAR ISSUANCE OF THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK HAVE BEEN
SUSPENDED UNTIL AFTER WILMA PASSES. ALL HAZARDOUS WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL BE CONTAINED IN
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS. THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL
BE ISSUED BY NWS MELBOURNE BY MIDNIGHT OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS
WARRANT. A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT CAN BE
VIEWED ON THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEBPAGE AT...
http://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/MLB AND CLICKING ON WILMA LOCAL INFO.

$$

HAGEMEYER
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#8 Postby jkt21787 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 6:33 pm

Though I'm not sure on the exact details of the watch, if you are under an inland hurricane watch, it is best to prepare for at least hurricane force wind gusts. Your NWS office obviously thinks its possible there.

Remember a watch means those conditions are *possible*, but a warning means its *imminent or occurring*. So, don't panic yet or get too worried, but do start making preparations for such conditions. I imagine you know what to do well :D

One very important thing to keep in mind is that the windfield with Wilma will only be expanding with time. The current NHC track assuredly brings you TS force winds, and strong TS winds too, and certainly hurricane force gusts can't be ruled out. Not much northward movemement may be needed to have sustained hurricane force conditions there. Fortunately it will be fast moving so the conditions will be short-lived, but are still capable of damage.
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#9 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 7:07 pm

I wouldn't rule out a very quick period of low-end Cat 1 winds... otherwise, likely not. Your going to be on the weak side and it's going to be flying across the state.
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Josephine96

#10 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 7:09 pm

Thank you Brent.. Still gonna be nasty up here.. Strong TS winds..
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#11 Postby SeaBrz_FL » Sat Oct 22, 2005 7:44 pm

You know, you could post this under the general Wilma discussion and probably get a lot more responses. The mods would prefer we do this instead of opening new threads for every Wilma question as things get busier here.

You also have several Central FL threads going, where this could have been posted, too.


I don't post much, but monitor frequently, and I'm a little weary of your continuous criticisms of John's posts (i.e., the Central Florida Wilma thread, etc.) If a thread doesn't interest you, don't click on it. Perhaps you could use the extra time trying to find someone to help you board up.
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#12 Postby inotherwords » Sat Oct 22, 2005 7:52 pm

SeaBrz_FL wrote:
You know, you could post this under the general Wilma discussion and probably get a lot more responses. The mods would prefer we do this instead of opening new threads for every Wilma question as things get busier here.

You also have several Central FL threads going, where this could have been posted, too.


I don't post much, but monitor frequently, and I'm a little weary of your continuous criticisms of John's posts (i.e., the Central Florida Wilma thread, etc.) If a thread doesn't interest you, don't click on it. Perhaps you could use the extra time trying to find someone to help you board up.


LOL At 9 p.m.? Seriously, I am not giving "continuous criticism" of John. I'm just asking politely if he would not open multiple threads on the same subject. I would ask this of anyone else doing the same thing. If you are weary of my posts, don't read them. Perhaps you could use the extra time to learn about proper Internet board etiquette.
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#13 Postby arkess7 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 7:57 pm

inotherwords wrote:
SeaBrz_FL wrote:
You know, you could post this under the general Wilma discussion and probably get a lot more responses. The mods would prefer we do this instead of opening new threads for every Wilma question as things get busier here.

You also have several Central FL threads going, where this could have been posted, too.


I don't post much, but monitor frequently, and I'm a little weary of your continuous criticisms of John's posts (i.e., the Central Florida Wilma thread, etc.) If a thread doesn't interest you, don't click on it. Perhaps you could use the extra time trying to find someone to help you board up.


LOL At 9 p.m.? Seriously, I am not giving "continuous criticism" of John. I'm just asking politely if he would not open multiple threads on the same subject. I would ask this of anyone else doing the same thing. If you are weary of my posts, don't read them. Perhaps you could use the extra time to learn about proper Internet board etiquette.



:roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll: :roll:
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#14 Postby Bellarose » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:04 pm

inotherwords wrote:
SeaBrz_FL wrote:
You know, you could post this under the general Wilma discussion and probably get a lot more responses. The mods would prefer we do this instead of opening new threads for every Wilma question as things get busier here.

You also have several Central FL threads going, where this could have been posted, too.


I don't post much, but monitor frequently, and I'm a little weary of your continuous criticisms of John's posts (i.e., the Central Florida Wilma thread, etc.) If a thread doesn't interest you, don't click on it. Perhaps you could use the extra time trying to find someone to help you board up.


LOL At 9 p.m.? Seriously, I am not giving "continuous criticism" of John. I'm just asking politely if he would not open multiple threads on the same subject. I would ask this of anyone else doing the same thing. If you are weary of my posts, don't read them. Perhaps you could use the extra time to learn about proper Internet board etiquette.


At the risk of being banned or put on suspension, I have to agree with IOW. Many of us have the same questions as John, or whatever his/her name is. I actually had to start my own thread last night because my questions were not being answered. But, I have never started so many threads or asked the same question so many times. NONE of us know where this is going. I am in Tampa and we are right at the borderline of TS/hurricane watches. I have loads of questions, but would never dream of trying to monopolize the board as this poster tends to do. Just follow along the best you can, follow all the links, and deal with it, like the rest of us. I want to know if I have to go to work Monday, if I should evacuate because I have a little one, if, if if....

Just keep yourself informed. It doesn't matter how many times or ways you ask a question. Nobody knows. Yet. Stay alert, be prepared, and listen to your local EOC/mets.

Sorry if this is harsh, but I'm tired of all of this and the only thing keeping me from turning away from the computer is the fact that things change so quickly with this storm and I have a family to protect. Inotherwords, I understand your frustration. And Josephine, I apologize in advance if this seems like a bashing. Just trying to make some points. If you'd like to discuss this, you can always email me.

Bella
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Josephine96

#15 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:38 pm

I don't feel bashed at all :wink:

I just would like to state calmly and politely that there is no need for anyone to get too terribly heated over this or any other issue. We do have what could be a tense yet serious situation developing here.. :wink:

Lets all be calm and guide each other through it..
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Re: Hey all.. Gots a question

#16 Postby jlauderdal » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:43 pm

Josephine96 wrote:As you may recall I am now under an inland hurricane watch here..

Do you guys think I could at least see hurricane force gusts on Monday.. or even sustained..?

or is that only gonna happen if the track jerks north again..


considering an inland hurricane watch means winds could get tht high then yes its certinly posible
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Josephine96

#17 Postby Josephine96 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:44 pm

Do any of you guys think there could be any "larger" tornadoes from this {cold front, approaching hurricane all elements interacting} or will there just be F-0 and F-1..
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#18 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:46 pm

Questions posted in the comments thread will almost certainly get answered... that's usually the first one I check everytime I come here. If they aren't answered, then there probably is no answer. :lol:
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#19 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:46 pm

Josephine96 wrote:Do any of you guys think there could be any "larger" tornadoes from this {cold front, approaching hurricane all elements interacting} or will there just be F-0 and F-1..


I would tend to think not... might see an F2.
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#20 Postby arkess7 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 8:47 pm

Josephine96 wrote:I don't feel bashed at all :wink:

I just would like to state calmly and politely that there is no need for anyone to get too terribly heated over this or any other issue. We do have what could be a tense yet serious situation developing here.. :wink:

Lets all be calm and guide each other through it..


i agree totally...........i put the :roll: a million times ....cause i think 'some' are being a little too 'know it all'.........im nervous up here in ocala...........WATCH ........WAIT ........AND SEE....is what i think.......after last year.... i think weve had a break up here this year.........i hope its not our turn now!!! uggg!!! :eek: ....and i know alot of evacuees are coming up here and are already here!!!!!!!!

my husband had got to go fill up our cars 2morrow for sure!!!!! :roll:
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