The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Josephine96 inspired me to make this forecast and it's only my prediction based on history and the climatology of the position of this storm. I shall only use one graphical reference based on the current position of this storm and where I think it could end up.
First a point of reference:
If you look at this map, you do in fact see that the storm track of the 1873 storm is similar to the current position (not previous positions) of Wilma.
I think the first trough has missed Wilma but the NNW track has picked up a bit more than anticipated as the 2300 DISCO tonight has intimated. I'm discarding all of the Globals until tommorrow night and the position of the storm should be just east of Cozumel, no more than 20 to 30 miles off the coast.
The track I shall follow is similar to the graphic above, with the storm turning north further than projected, creating a landfalling hurricane situation as a strong Cat 2 or Cat 3 between Venice, FL and Punta Gorda, FL on Monday morning.
Flame away gang, but I just do not think the models can nor have initialized on this storm properly and if I'm wrong, I like my crow with Sweet Baby Ray's bbq sauce, no fork needed, I'll eat like chicken, the way you should.
If I'm right, send batteries and beer because I won't have power for a week or two....
