Question

[hicksta]

This may sound stupid.... But is there anyway on gods green earth this thing could move into the western gulf.. The NHC is human.. Humans make mistakes, i just hope they dont make a mistake on a big storm

[inotherwords]

The models are all converging on S. FL and have for days.

[hicksta]

True, but sometimes big powerful storms like this tend to make thier own environment and could care less what they are spose to do

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Hicksta, the absolute only way that this storm could head into the western GOM is if the front completely flattens out E/W across the gulf states and the atlantic ridge builds in from the east all the way across the northern gulf.

Is that likely or even remotely possible with the synoptic setup we are seeing unravel? Nope.

[GalvestonDuck]

No question is stupid.

As we've seen with a number of storms, the NHC's forecast can fluctuate, depending upon a storm's land interaction, stalls, currents, wobbles, etc. There are things that can easily edge a storm one way or the other by a few degrees. It's always smart to keep an eye on them and be prepared.

But in the case of Wilma v. The Gulf Coast, I'd like to believe that those of us in the W GOM are gonna be alright.

[frederic79]

While I thoroughly agree that Wilma is likely to follow the models, don't forget that 3 days before Katrina hit it was forecast to strike Destin. However, a strong cold front wins this battle - just my opinion.