whats your take on Florida Impacts?

hurricanedude · #1 Postby **hurricanedude** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:30 am

In summary....how would you rank each section of Florida at risk...
0 being no risk.....1 being slight...2 being low....3 being moderate.....4 being high...5 being almost certain

my opinion is 3 for the panhandle and keys.....3 for the southern peninsula 4 for the northern peninsula 5 for the central peninsula

Website · #2 Postby **Brent** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:31 am

2 for the Panhandle... 4 for the Big Bend area(Apalachicola to just north of Tampa). 5 from Tampa southward including all of the Florida Keys.

Too uncertain to be more specific.

hurricanedude · #3 Postby **hurricanedude** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:36 am

funny thing is...this thing...if it does as forecast...and that is a big if.....at some point nearly every reporting station on the FL peninsula could have hurricane force winds...perhaps the exceptions being the western pandandle...

hicksta · #4 Postby **hicksta** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:41 am

Hey yall just a reminder, Rita was aimed at brownsville and mexico 5-7 days out... Look where she hit. Its anyones game.

Weatherfreak14 · #5 Postby **Weatherfreak14** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 9:51 am

I say 3 tampa bay area 4 port charollite area.

#6 Postby **Trader Ron** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:02 am

3 for the West Coast just North of Tampa.

3 for the Big Bend

2 for the Panhandle

2 for Naples :lol:

It's anybody's guess right now.

#7 Postby **jlauderdal** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 10:06 am

hicksta wrote:Hey yall just a reminder, Rita was aimed at brownsville and mexico 5-7 days out... Look where she hit. Its anyones game.

different setup with the weakness being a sure bet at the end of the period. late season storms are much easier to predict then mid-season ones.

#8 Postby **Blown Away** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:49 am

If it landfalls in FL, based on history, I would say from Ft. Myers through the Keys would have the highest chance. I just don't see Wilma going farther N than Ft. Myers before turing NE or ENE. I wouldn't rule out Wilma actually missing Fl. Making it all the way to the Panhandle or Big Bend before turing NE, this time of year I would say is low, IMO. If I was in the Keys I would start getting ready, just in case!

floridahurricaneguy · #9 Postby **floridahurricaneguy** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:00 pm

4 for Tampa Bay Area, 3 for Panhandle and 3 from Sarasota South to keys.

jkt21787 · #10 Postby **jkt21787** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:03 pm

How about just a 5 for Florida as a whole right now :wink:

(especially given the 12Z GFS)

#11 Postby **Windtalker1** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 12:04 pm

Blown_away wrote:If it landfalls in FL, based on history, I would say from Ft. Myers through the Keys would have the highest chance. I just don't see Wilma going farther N than Ft. Myers before turing NE or ENE. I wouldn't rule out Wilma actually missing Fl. Making it all the way to the Panhandle or Big Bend before turing NE, this time of year I would say is low, IMO. If I was in the Keys I would start getting ready, just in case!

I agree...this time of year with all the fronts making their way farther South...I see this as a Key West direct hit and moving up through S Florida around the Monroe/Collier County Line and then up through the center of the state and exiting around Jupiter....from there it's up the coast we go toward the Outer Banks.....Just my opinion which I will back up later with maps ect.

Extremeweatherguy · #12 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sun Oct 16, 2005 4:26 pm

Keys = 2
Southern Peninsula = 2
Central Peninusla = 3
North Florida = 3
Panhandle = 3/4

I think the 5pm advisory and the latest models are hinting at a further west track. If the latest thinking is correct..this looks to be more of a threat to areas north of Tampa.

whats your take on Florida Impacts?

whats your take on Florida Impacts?

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