UNOFFICIAL..Stan #3; CAT 1/2 landfall just before 72 hours

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ncweatherwizard
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UNOFFICIAL..Stan #3; CAT 1/2 landfall just before 72 hours

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Sun Oct 02, 2005 1:17 pm

Quote Storm2K:

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

Forecast 3:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... /stan.html

Forecast is a little to the right of the last forecast, but keeps a landfall in the general vicinity of Tuxpan, Mexico. Still, model guidance is divergent, and steering currents will weaken toward 48 to 72 hours--I expect, however, that with a stronger storm forecasted than these model solutions, Stan will go inland. Cat 1/2 hurricane forecasted at landfall although this is not depicted in the forecast points since landfall occurs between 48 and 72 hours.

Scott
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