Will Rita go anullar??

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K

Will Rita go anullar??

Yes
10
48%
No
5
24%
Unsure
6
29%
 
Total votes: 21

Message
Author
User avatar
Astro_man92
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1493
Joined: Sun Jul 17, 2005 1:26 am
Contact:

Will Rita go anullar??

#1 Postby Astro_man92 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:36 pm

I'm sorry if this has already been posted but


Will Rita go anullar???

please explain you thinking

EDIT: BTW I'm unsure
0 likes   

dolebot_Broward_NW
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 529
Joined: Fri Sep 10, 2004 6:38 am

#2 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:40 pm

It's Annular, Astro. No, and it's because there are a lot of detrimental factors about this particular hurricane. Specifically look at the outlow, and the slightly irregular eyewall. Annular hurricanes look like a donut, and they don't rapidly intensify or decrease in strength. Just because a particular hurricane is annular doesn't mean its going to be the worst it could possibly be. Annular hurricanes typically maintain approximately 85% of their possible strength based on heat content. Its the keyword there about an annular hurricane, MAINTAIN.
0 likes   

Mac

#3 Postby Mac » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:44 pm

This is a pure guessing game. The fact of the matter is, nobody really knows enough about annular hurricanes to understand why some become annular and others don't. The best anybody can say is that some hurricanes become annular when all of the pieces of the puzzle fall into place at the right time and in the right place. And, as the previous poster pointed out, it doesn't make hurricanes stronger. It just makes them more efficient in their management of energy. They are likely to be able to maintain higher intensities for longer periods of time, since they are not as prone to go through ERCs once annular, but they aren't more powerful.

I voted unsure. Flip a coin. That's about the best you'll be able to do.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: MarioProtVI, TheHurricaneGod and 61 guests