Rita Pointing The Way......

#1 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:42 am

It appears from satellite pics that Rita on the west side is "pointing" almost due west towards the lower Texas/upper Mexican coast. If Rita were to stay on this west or move just south of west course, could this happen?? Also check on the upper high over Texas, remains very strong with no signs at this time of moving east. Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html

corpusbreeze · #2 Postby **corpusbreeze** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:49 am

Been keeping an eye on the water vapor loop for the last few days and it looks the same as it did two days ago . The ridge is strong right now.

#3 Postby **dcuevas** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:50 am

I don't know alot about thit but..... Could the High pressure over Texas protect it?

dwg71 · #4 Postby **dwg71** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:50 am

corpusbreeze wrote:Been keeping an eye on the water vapor loop for the last few days and it looks the same as it did two days ago . The ridge is strong right now.

Agreed, corpus i dont wish anything like this on anybody, but better you than me

Anonymous · #5 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:51 am

The reason for the westward "Pointing" of Rita's west side, is due to an ill defined upper level low pressure feature, in the Bay of Campeche. This low is retrograding westward, and is not close, nor strong enough to have a negative impact on Rita. In fact, that upper level low may be enhancing Rita's western semicircle:::

Hope that helps 8-)

~Mike

#6 Postby **dcuevas** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:56 am

Great job in explaining it. Thanks!

#7 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:59 am

Floydbuster, check out the 24 hour WV loop. The high is remaing strong over Texas. Could this possily keep Rita on a more westerly course?? And also could the movement of the afformentioned upper low be a possible indicator of the future movement of Rita? Thoughts and comments welcomed.

Robert 8-)

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv

Anonymous · #8 Postby **Anonymous** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:00 am

TampaFl wrote:Floydbuster, check out the 24 hour WV loop. The high is remaing strong over Texas. Could this possily keep Rita on a more westerly course??

Robert

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv

Well...keep in mind, we are talking THREE DAYS until the ridge really breaks down.

#9 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:06 am

~Floydbuster wrote:
TampaFl wrote:Floydbuster, check out the 24 hour WV loop. The high is remaing strong over Texas. Could this possily keep Rita on a more westerly course??

Robert

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv

Well...keep in mind, we are talking THREE DAYS until the ridge really breaks down.

Agree, Thanks. Thursday will be the be the make or break day IMHO on if the ridge starts to weaken and shift east.

Robert 8-)

BamaMan · #10 Postby **BamaMan** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:49 am

~Floydbuster wrote:
TampaFl wrote:Floydbuster, check out the 24 hour WV loop. The high is remaing strong over Texas. Could this possily keep Rita on a more westerly course??

Robert

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv

Well...keep in mind, we are talking THREE DAYS until the ridge really breaks down.

If the ridge broke down sooner, and or, moved east quicker wouldnt this stilll put Lousiana back under the gun? It just seems to me that with landfall still 3-3-1/2 days out, all media is focusing on one area too much and may cause other areas to grow complacent.

#11 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 7:50 am

BamaMan wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:
TampaFl wrote:Floydbuster, check out the 24 hour WV loop. The high is remaing strong over Texas. Could this possily keep Rita on a more westerly course??

Robert

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv

Well...keep in mind, we are talking THREE DAYS until the ridge really breaks down.

If the ridge broke down sooner, and or, moved east quicker wouldnt this stilll put Lousiana back under the gun? It just seems to me that with landfall still 3-3-1/2 days out, all media is focusing on one area too much and may cause other areas to grow complacent.

But the ridge is still showing NO signs of this....not even a little bit.

#12 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Sep 21, 2005 10:28 am

skysummit wrote:
BamaMan wrote:
~Floydbuster wrote:
TampaFl wrote:Floydbuster, check out the 24 hour WV loop. The high is remaing strong over Texas. Could this possily keep Rita on a more westerly course??

Robert

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/wv48rgnlloop.master.pl?us&type=wv

Well...keep in mind, we are talking THREE DAYS until the ridge really breaks down.

If the ridge broke down sooner, and or, moved east quicker wouldnt this stilll put Lousiana back under the gun? It just seems to me that with landfall still 3-3-1/2 days out, all media is focusing on one area too much and may cause other areas to grow complacent.

But the ridge is still showing NO signs of this....not even a little bit.

Agree Skysummit - Ridge is holding very strong. Time will tell.

Robert 8-)

Rita Pointing The Way......

Rita Pointing The Way......

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