00z Gfs....a new twist

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tw861
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00z Gfs....a new twist

#1 Postby tw861 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:07 am

The new run has shifted back to the southwest of Galveston, old news. However.... now it appears to stall out Rita in northeast Texas and the remnant low eventually moves back southward in response to a high building north of it. And on day six there is still a low located just north of Houston, and even on day 8+ there still seems to be some sort of reflection in the area. Unreal.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
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#2 Postby jasons2k » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:09 am

Oh great, Carla and Allison all at once.

That's my que for bedtime, even if the GFS may be out to lunch.
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#3 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:09 am

The 12z run showed it stalling around the ARKLATEX region and causing severe flooding, but the local met discounted it because he thought the trough would pick it up.

Maybe not...
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#4 Postby hicksta » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:14 am

:x
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#5 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:23 am

Wow that would cause major flooding problems. Did anyone see the huge front coming down around the 1st? Hopefully that will cut off the gulf for the rest of the season.
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#6 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:23 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Wow that would cause major flooding problems. Did anyone see the huge front coming down around the 1st? Hopefully that will cut off the gulf for the rest of the season.


Is it time to wrap up the pipes? :lol: :lol: :lol:
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#7 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:30 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Wow that would cause major flooding problems. Did anyone see the huge front coming down around the 1st? Hopefully that will cut off the gulf for the rest of the season.


Seriously???

As of this afternoon it was showing a dreadful ridge down here all the way through the end of the forecast period.

Rainfall for September: 10 drops...

:roll:
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#8 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:32 am

Actually it's more like October 5, the frames were moving so fast :lol: . I'm no expert at reading these maps but the blue dotted line represents the freezing line and that dipped all the way down to the Arkansas and Tennessee border. But it's the GFS and afterall.
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#9 Postby vbhoutex » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:34 am

jschlitz wrote:Oh great, Carla and Allison all at once.

That's my que for bedtime, even if the GFS may be out to lunch.


Hush yo mouth!!!! Don't even think that!!!!! :uarrow: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
Erase that from your mind!!!!!! :uarrow:
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#10 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:36 am

PTrackerLA wrote:Actually it's more like October 5, the frames were moving so fast :lol: . I'm no expert at reading these maps but the blue dotted line represents the freezing line and that dipped all the way down to the Arkansas and Tennessee border. But it's the GFS and afterall.


Oh here we go with the imaginary blizzards at 384 hours...

:lol:
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#11 Postby PTrackerLA » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:37 am

Brent wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Actually it's more like October 5, the frames were moving so fast :lol: . I'm no expert at reading these maps but the blue dotted line represents the freezing line and that dipped all the way down to the Arkansas and Tennessee border. But it's the GFS and afterall.


Oh here we go with the imaginary blizzards at 384 hours...

:lol:


Lol I wish we were just forecasting blizzards right now :roll: .
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#12 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:39 am

PTrackerLA wrote:
Brent wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Actually it's more like October 5, the frames were moving so fast :lol: . I'm no expert at reading these maps but the blue dotted line represents the freezing line and that dipped all the way down to the Arkansas and Tennessee border. But it's the GFS and afterall.


Oh here we go with the imaginary blizzards at 384 hours...

:lol:


Lol I wish we were just forecasting blizzards right now :roll: .


Me too... I wish it would just cool off and rain. This "Sunny and Hot" forecast for the last 3 weeks is getting VERY VERY old.
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#13 Postby Houstonia » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:42 am

vbhoutex wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Oh great, Carla and Allison all at once.

That's my que for bedtime, even if the GFS may be out to lunch.


Hush yo mouth!!!! Don't even think that!!!!! :uarrow: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:
Erase that from your mind!!!!!! :uarrow:


If that happens, I'm moving. I want to go somewhere safe..
Like Baghdad... :roll:
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#14 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:42 am

Houstonia wrote:Like Baghdad... :roll:


:eek:
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#15 Postby mtm4319 » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:44 am

Brent wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:
Brent wrote:
PTrackerLA wrote:Actually it's more like October 5, the frames were moving so fast :lol: . I'm no expert at reading these maps but the blue dotted line represents the freezing line and that dipped all the way down to the Arkansas and Tennessee border. But it's the GFS and afterall.


Oh here we go with the imaginary blizzards at 384 hours...

:lol:


Lol I wish we were just forecasting blizzards right now :roll: .


Me too... I wish it would just cool off and rain. This "Sunny and Hot" forecast for the last 3 weeks is getting VERY VERY old.


Yep. It was 96 degrees here today. Ridiculous! Glad I was able to stay inside.
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#16 Postby Brent » Wed Sep 21, 2005 12:45 am

mtm4319 wrote:Yep. It was 96 degrees here today. Ridiculous! Glad I was able to stay inside.


...and it rained in LOS ANGELES. :eek:
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#17 Postby oneness » Wed Sep 21, 2005 1:24 am

The model run could not show a worse situation developing for Texas and west LA flood event. Can anyone comment on how reliable that model generally is, or isn't?
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#18 Postby Clint_TX » Wed Sep 21, 2005 2:02 am

Carla and Allison...there really is nothing I can say at this moment
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#19 Postby southerngreen » Wed Sep 21, 2005 3:37 am

this thing looks like a steam roller

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

(check out the J in the third frame and the intensity in the last two)
maybe it's a clue - anybody out there can decode a hurricane?

:wink:
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#20 Postby KatDaddy » Wed Sep 21, 2005 5:38 am

Carla and Allison........hmmmmmmm

Clint you said it....nothing else to say.
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