The North Turn that is "Expected"

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gatorcane
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The North Turn that is "Expected"

#1 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 6:59 pm

Someone tell me how this thing will be making a turn anytime soon. It looks like a WSW motion will continue...

The flow from the water vapor loop clearly shows a huge anticylonic flow centered near the NW Gulf that is not showing signs of moving or weakening....Katrina is moving along the SE side of it....there is no trough digging down. In addition the ridge off the East coast seem to be digging way down and pushing it farther W...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html
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Re: The North Turn that is "Expected"

#2 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:01 pm

boca_chris wrote:Someone tell me how this thing will be making a turn anytime soon. It looks like a WSW motion will continue...

The flow from the water vapor loop clearly shows a huge anticylonic flow centered near the NW Gulf that is not showing signs of moving or weakening....Katrina is moving along the SE side of it....there is no trough digging down. In addition the ridge off the East coast seem to be digging way down and pushing it farther W...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html


NHC does not have it gaining more than .3 N in the next 24 hours, be patient.
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#3 Postby raynpa » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:02 pm

might not get picked up until 93.0 west
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#4 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:02 pm

The NHC thought it was going to be off the coast of Ft.Myers right now...so needless to say I'm doubting them.
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Re: The North Turn that is "Expected"

#5 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:03 pm

boca_chris wrote:Someone tell me how this thing will be making a turn anytime soon. It looks like a WSW motion will continue...

The flow from the water vapor loop clearly shows a huge anticylonic flow centered near the NW Gulf that is not showing signs of moving or weakening....Katrina is moving along the SE side of it....there is no trough digging down. In addition the ridge off the East coast seem to be digging way down and pushing it farther W...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/nwatl-wv-loop.html


Also notice that CDO has not strayed from the Florida coast.
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#6 Postby Opal storm » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:04 pm

It will start to turn soon.A local met here mentioned that it is now looking a little more west than south.
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#7 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:06 pm

storms are diving south near northern AL.
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#8 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:07 pm

storms are diving south near northern AL


and what does this mean for movement?
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#9 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:09 pm

boca_chris wrote:
storms are diving south near northern AL


and what does this mean for movement?


The erosion of the NE side of the ridge.
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#10 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:15 pm

dwg71 wrote:
boca_chris wrote:
storms are diving south near northern AL


and what does this mean for movement?


The erosion of the NE side of the ridge.


NO it dosn't...bro, do you not see the huge ridge....it runs from TX to basically the east coast....its not erroding yet....
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#11 Postby jkt21787 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:17 pm

I think its clear deltadog03 and dwg71 will never agree about anything in the tropics. :lol:

One says one thing, the other says the opposite, or at least thats how it seems. Sometimes I've been with delta, sometimes with dwg.

Its fun to watch them disagree!
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#12 Postby dwg71 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:20 pm

jkt21787 wrote:I think its clear deltadog03 and dwg71 will never agree about anything in the tropics. :lol:

One says one thing, the other says the opposite, or at least thats how it seems. Sometimes I've been with delta, sometimes with dwg.

Its fun to watch them disagree!


I'm going to start charging admission. He always leans west. Always. The Ridge is Eroding on the NE side.
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#13 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:21 pm

My forecast is SW Louisiana/Texas coast.
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#14 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:22 pm

Hm, im trusting delta he has 1 more hurricane than you :lol:
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#15 Postby deltadog03 » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:22 pm

im not trying to dissagree with him....stop it kevin...lol...its not that i am always west...i just have some doubts on the trof...i still think its near ms...
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#16 Postby gatorcane » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:23 pm

Hm, im trusting delta he has 1 more hurricane than you


I predicited katrina for S. Florida a week before it happened... :lol:
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NorthGaWeather

#17 Postby NorthGaWeather » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:29 pm

dwg71 wrote:
jkt21787 wrote:I think its clear deltadog03 and dwg71 will never agree about anything in the tropics. :lol:

One says one thing, the other says the opposite, or at least thats how it seems. Sometimes I've been with delta, sometimes with dwg.

Its fun to watch them disagree!


I'm going to start charging admission. He always leans west. Always. The Ridge is Eroding on the NE side.


I hate it but it really isn't eroding at the pace you claim. It has weakened some but not alot.
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#18 Postby Nimbus » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:41 pm

You can see the storms on the water vapor loop where the trough has started to erode the NE side of the ridge.

By tomorrow we should know better when the weakness will get close enough to steer Katrina.

The models are forecasting the weakness to start steering Katrina after the 24 to 48 hour range.
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#19 Postby johngaltfla » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:46 pm

Do we now start worrying about the "C" word when this thing does turn north?

:eek: :eek: :eek:
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#20 Postby hicksta » Fri Aug 26, 2005 7:48 pm

It just dived SW on the radar. This thing is AMAZING
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