For Those Who Said 2005 Would Be Nothing Like 2004....

[recmod]

I remember when this hurricane season began that a great number of people were posting on this forum that, while the 2005 season was expected to be above average in number of storms, Florida would NOT see a repeat of last year.

Well, it is now August 25....with over 3 months left in the hurricane season, and we have already seen 2 hurricanes (Dennis & Katrina) and one 70mph tropical storm (Arlene) make landfall in Florida. It seems quite feasible to think that there could be at least one or two more threats to the state before all is said and done this season. So far, this year has had a lot of "in close" storms develop, which would tend to increase any threat of landfall.

I know, the storms that have struck so far in 2005 do not compare in intensity to what was endured last year. Even though 2005's Dennis does not compare to Charley of last year, by August 25, both years had recorded one landfalling MAJOR (Cat 3 or above) Florida landfall. Both years also experienced one landfalling tropical storm by this date.

Katrina's landfall as a hurricane actually puts 2005 AHEAD of last year in Florida landfalls for the season to date. And who knows, some of the models are forecasting Katrina to become a Cat 3 in the Gulf before reaching the Panhandle,....so we could conceivably have our second MAJOR hurricane landfall of the year.


Comparison of 2004 to 2005 Florida Landfalls by August 25:

2004
==================
1 Tropical Storm (Bonnie)
1 Cat 4 Hurricane (Charley)


2005
==================
1 Tropical Storm (Arlene)
1 Cat 3 Hurricane (Dennis)
1 Cat 1 Hurricane (Katrina)


Just something to think about for those who said that there was no way Florida would see four hurricanes this year...



--Lou

[cjrciadt]

Great points, dodge a small bullet with Katrina not putting her eye over Central Florida. Though with the tropics heating up with disturbances it could blow ahead of the 2004 totals through Sept.

[vacanechaser]

Also, for those who said that Florida was out of the woods because you have had so much rain!!!

Told you it didnt matter... Now lets hope everyone is safe and sound that everyone prepares for a larger stronger storm later in the weekend!!


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Eyes2theSkies]

fellow floridians face it we are in a pattern like this that could last a few more years. Sorry for everybody in texas with that bad drought. come visit us y'all can have all the rain you want

[johngaltfla]

fellow floridians face it we are in a pattern like this that could last a few more years. Sorry for everybody in texas with that bad drought. come visit us y'all can have all the rain you want

Bingo. We are in a situation, especially when the cold fronts strart to drop where storms will be funneled into Florida in late September through October.