Northern jog?

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lwg8tr

Northern jog?

#1 Postby lwg8tr » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:24 am

Looking at the latest IR, seems like Katrina has stalled or even jogged a bit north. Having lived in So. Fl for 30 years in 14 out of 15 storms the locals mets and the NHC always have a storm diving SW as it approaches the coast. You think they would have learned by now. I didn’t board up and I hope from a purely selfish perspecitve that the NHC is right. I know that due to ocean currents and being in the northern hemisphere that storm naturally want to recurve NE. Up here in Northern Palm Beach county we have had enough of downed tree limbs, 7 day power outages and endless cleanup. Let's all blow real hard eastward and make this baby a fish!
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jax

Re: Northern jog?

#2 Postby jax » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:27 am

lwg8tr wrote:Looking at the latest IR, seems like Katrina has stalled or even jogged a bit north. Having lived in So. Fl for 30 years in 14 out of 15 storms the locals mets and the NHC always have a storm diving SW as it approaches the coast. You think they would have learned by now. I didn’t board up and I hope from a purely selfish perspecitve that the NHC is right. I know that due to ocean currents and being in the northern hemisphere that storm naturally want to recurve NE. Up here in Northern Palm Beach county we have had enough of downed tree limbs, 7 day power outages and endless cleanup. Let's all blow real hard eastward and make this baby a fish!


still looks a little south of west to me...
the radar give a much better picture
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NastyCat4

#3 Postby NastyCat4 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:27 am

Still heading due west (275), with a slight southward component. Whatever your previous expereinces with storms are, this one isn't obeying. NO northward jog--if anything, it is slightly below forecast points.
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Patrick99
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#4 Postby Patrick99 » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:28 am

Ocean currents don't steer storms.
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jpigott
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#5 Postby jpigott » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:31 am

unfortunately not going to be a fish. and i too see a stall and maybe a slight N 8-) wobble 8-) Seriously though this is not the place where you want to see a stall. Eventhough Frances stalled in the same basic area and didn't "blow-up" as i understand it Katrina has better atmoshperic conditions inwhich to develop than Frances. Anybody think we will see a Nward drift per the old wives tale about storms in the gulf stream drifting with the N current
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rockyman
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#6 Postby rockyman » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:32 am

NastyCat4 wrote:Still heading due west (275), with a slight southward component. Whatever your previous expereinces with storms are, this one isn't obeying. NO northward jog--if anything, it is slightly below forecast points.


Due west is 270...275 is slightly north of due west :)
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Stormcenter
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#7 Postby Stormcenter » Thu Aug 25, 2005 9:37 am

rockyman wrote:
NastyCat4 wrote:Still heading due west (275), with a slight southward component. Whatever your previous expereinces with storms are, this one isn't obeying. NO northward jog--if anything, it is slightly below forecast points.


Due west is 270...275 is slightly north of due west :)


Look at the loop below and it still looks like slight south of due west motion.
You can even see the beginnings of a possible eye future.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... duration=6
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