Robert
000
WTNT42 KNHC 240307
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE DISCUSSION NUMBER 2... CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE AUG 23 2005
...CORRECTED TO CLARIFY CONVECTIVE BAND IN FIRST PARAGRAPH AND
POTENTIAL TIMELINE OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN NEXT TO LAST
PARAGRAPH...
THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT... PRIOR TO DEPARTING THE DEPRESSION
AFTER ABOUT 2230Z... CONTINUED TO REPORT A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
NEAR 1007 MB... AND MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS DURING THIS MISSION
NEVER EXCEEDED THE 39 KT OBSERVED SHORTLY AFTER 18Z. DURING THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS... THE CENTER HAS BEEN NEAR GEORGETOWN ON
GREAT EXUMA ISLAND IN THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... WHERE 1007 MB AND
NEARLY CALM WINDS HAVE RECENTLY BEEN REPORTED. LACKING ANY DATA TO
SUPPORT A STRONGER SYSTEM... THE ADVISORY INTENSITY IS MAINTAINED
AT 30 KT. HOWEVER... RECENTLY A BAND OF DEEP CONVECTION... WITH
SOME TOPS COLDER THAN -80C... HAS STRENGTHENED TO THE EAST OF THE
CIRCULATION CENTER... AND THIS BAND COULD WRAP SUFFICIENTLY AROUND
THE CENTER WITHIN THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS TO SOON MAKE THIS SYSTEM A
TROPICAL STORM. RADAR IMAGERY FROM GREAT EXUMA ALSO DEPICTS A
NEARLY CONTINUOUS CURVED BAND OF RAINFALL BENEATH THESE CONVECTIVE
TOPS.
