NRL site calling system ATL2 .. NONAME

[Stormsfury]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables

[mf_dolphin]

It's looking better all the time. Pretty remarkable for this time of the year and the less than ideal conditions it's faced.

[chadtm80]

NONAME

You know what that means

[weatherlover427]

What does that mean? (I am being serious here)

[chadtm80]

Means Time for chat room party to celebrate TD2

[Anonymous]

It means TWW, Stormsfury and I busted on this one.

It means...TD#2 is here.

[chadtm80]

Looking Good

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

[mf_dolphin]

Nothing ventured nothing gained SC A lot of people busted on this one lol

[Guest]

Its means you are human and that's why they call it forecasting and not an exact science. This is why we love tracking the tropics so much.

Onward to a busy season? Time will only tell.

Bill for the record books - who knows?

Patricia

[Anonymous]

I still don't see it becoming Bill.....but with the way it's been lately I'm probably wrong lol. I'll have a forecast on this tomorrow.

[GulfBreezer]

This looks like it may a "Season of Records" Ana appearing when she did and now this? I feel like there are going to be many systems that will refute our forecasts and beat all odds. Heads up everyone, this could be the season of all seasons!

[Tommedic]

Well, everyone, it looks like Bill may be on the way. Looking at sat pics, seems promising. Interesting that the "B" storm couyld possibly form not far from where Bertha Formed in July 1996. Ooops! I wonder what that could mean.

[jabber]

I give up trying to guess this storm

[pojo]

TD #2 is here!

000
WTNT32 KNHC 110221
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE JUN 10 2003

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC...

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE TROPICAL
ATLANTIC HAS BECOME TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO. THIS IS THE THIRD
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO FORM IN THE TROPICAL ATLANTIC EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES IN JUNE SINCE 1967.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z ...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 9.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.6
WEST OR ABOUT 1235 MILES...1990 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE WINDWARD
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION HAS THE CHANCE TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION... 9.6 N... 41.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA

[Stormsfury]

It means TWW, Stormsfury and I busted on this one.

It means...TD#2 is here.

*LOL* Supercane ... Yep ... we sure did ... any other year besides 2003 we would have been right ...

Believe me, with what we had to go on, if the same thing happened again, I'd call it the same way we did last night ... This one just defied all odds ...

On that note - TD #2 capitalized on its window of opportunity and will likely have a chance to become Bill ... however, after 48 hours ... shear/dry air entrainment should weaken it ... especially, if Bill gets stronger than anticipated early on because the stronger it gets in the short term, the more likely it's influenced by conditions north of the TC, IMO...(But with that said ... it's 2003...)