The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.
Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html
Forecast 6:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... irene.html
Fairly long discussion this time. My biggest issue here is deciding whether or not to dissipate the storm or not. I keep it weak, and I keep it to the left of the previous forecast, and more of a westerly heading (albeit clearly WNW-ward) than before.
BTW, I have been doing forecasts this weekend and posting them on the web, but I haven't bothered here, since I was in New York at a cousin's wedding--somewhat of a break from things--now time to get back to work.
Scott
