No!

[du1st]

2 This year is not any different from 03 or 95!

[gatorcane]

yep, 2004 was very rare.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


This may be a year very different from 2004. But I would not let my guard down, here's why:

Not yet. This year has been unique with the crazy July monsters Dennis and Emily. What will happen in September is uncertain, but right now 2 waves (one near S. America) as well as another to its east has developed better convection. Time will tell.
Higher SSTs may faciliate stronger B-Highs a few weeks down the road.

[beachbum_al]

A lot of us here live near the Coast. An area that has seen our share of storms and really don't want to see anymore. I don't think it is that we are hurricane hungry here but more like on the guard and prepare if we need to be.

[du1st]

I am just thinking I don't see another 04. i understand how you feel though.

[Astro_man92]

I'd love to see one home in on michigan


Here is a crazy Idea



Headlines:

Hurricane X is going up the saint larence river and is weakining slowly scientsts fear what will happen once this hurricane get to lake eire and lake huron


4days later

headlines:

Hurricane X has gone up the saint larence river and is now back to hurricane strength though a minimal hurricane it is quite large we estinmate it to be 500 miles wide


Local headlines:

Petoskey New Review:
and Harbor Light News paper

Record rain fall rates

and hurricane X ir causeing record waves up to 16 feet near shore out to sea it is causing 30 foot waves that is 10 feet above average


lol I wish

[Scorpion]

Ok? Thats why we had a major hurricane landfall in early July? And another one in mid July?

[du1st]

that not another 04. thats an early season. 95 was bad too. Opal roxanne?

[wxcrazytwo]

yep, 2004 was very rare.

very rare in what terms. We only have records going back so far.

[Ivanhater]

i cant believe some are saying this Will not be as bad as last because last year was 'rare,' first off, we had 2 MAJORS hit land in JULY!! 1 being in the same spot as ivan, how much 'rarer' can you get??? and we have had 9 storms form earliest on record, how much 'rarer' can you get??? and we have a forecast of 20 named storms by dr grey, the highest EVER forecast, how much 'rarer' can you get??? and we have not even hit the day when the 1ST hurricane hit florida yet!! people, this season is breaking records left and right, and we have barely started!! im getting really tired of the "this season is like 95, last year was "rare".

[du1st]

I agree that there will be alot but they will be fishes or wek TS's.

[Ivanhater]

I agree that there will be alot but they will be fishes or wek TS's.

why do you think that?? because thats what is happening now? im glad people wernt saying that last year when bonnie was just a tropical storm then bam, charley hit, or when danielle and earl turned and dissipated then bam frances, or when gaston and hermine were weak and turned then bam ivan...you CANNOT think this season will not be as bad as last year just because of what is going on now

[WindRunner]

With that logic, we've had 3 (not including Irene) weak storms in a row. If two last year would yield a landfalling major, 3 or 4 this year should give us a monster .

[Steve]

I'm not sure what the point of the thread or what the NO! 2 thing is all about. But Dr. Gray just released an ACE index (measuing overall intensity for the season) 6 points higher than what we ended up with in 2004 (which probably is the record w/ 229). So he's thinking a stronger season overall, and their report is always conservative.

Take heed.

Steve

[Astro_man92]

i cant believe some are saying this Will not be as bad as last because last year was 'rare,' first off, we had 2 MAJORS hit land in JULY!! 1 being in the same spot as ivan, how much 'rarer' can you get??? and we have had 9 storms form earliest on record, how much 'rarer' can you get??? and we have a forecast of 20 named storms by dr grey, the highest EVER forecast, how much 'rarer' can you get??? and we have not even hit the day when the 1ST hurricane hit florida yet!! people, this season is breaking records left and right, and we have barely started!! im getting really tired of the "this season is like 95, last year was "rare".

Back in prehistoric time or the time of the dinos lol they possible hade regularly 200MPH + hurricanes and hurricanes year round
and there Idea of rare is 60 hurricanes a year with a cat 5 (300 MPH +) heading across pangea ( the really really old super continent that all the present continents used ot be apart of)

oh ya and that would be going on for over 500 Million years

[abajan]

...Dr. Gray just released an ACE index (measuing overall intensity for the season)...

Oh, I thought that was the ACE Hardware index of how many people would be purchasing plywood!