More West Track???

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bfez1
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More West Track???

#1 Postby bfez1 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:57 am

Local met here just said new track shows more W track. Said it certainly would not be good for NO area.
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TampaFl
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#2 Postby TampaFl » Sat Jul 09, 2005 7:59 am

What new track????
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#3 Postby BamaMan » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:06 am

Not good at all for NO, and not good for us here either if landfall is on the Ms coast. Not good for anyone :eek:
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#4 Postby HollynLA » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:07 am

wait, so are the models on wunderground a mistake or not> definitely the starting points are wrong. I'm confused now. What's up with this?
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#5 Postby HollynLA » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:07 am

Not good at all for NO, and not good for us here either if landfall is on the Ms coast. Not good for anyone


I agree, no matter where it goes at this point, Mobile is gonna get hammered either way.
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#6 Postby gtalum » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:07 am

The models are wrong, but the official NHC forecast track also moved slightly west again.
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#7 Postby NewOrleans » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:12 am

The updated models have moved to the west by about 100 miles, meaning a landfall now more likely along the Gulfport-Biloxi area.

The models were shown graphically on local channel WDSU 6.

What will the NHC do at 11:00am?

The met. stated; "The models must be picking up on some of the latest data being fed into them, that was not there before".

Interesting and I wonder what the NHC will do with their forecast track.
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#8 Postby bfez1 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:14 am

What an emotional roller coaster! It ain't over till it's over!!!
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#9 Postby sunny » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:14 am

Great. Just great.
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#10 Postby gboudx » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:19 am

She would be the only person suggesting this. Maybe, just maybe she's picking up the model's that ran on bad data this morning. But I would hope a pro wouldn't go public with bad data.
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#11 Postby Agua » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:24 am

The BAM/LBAR/GFDL set did move west, though not a lot - look to be clustered between Mobile Bay, MS/AL line.Image
[Edited to include graphic]
Last edited by Agua on Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:37 am, edited 3 times in total.
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#12 Postby GulfBreezer » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:32 am

Check Wunderground...................bad initialization! Wrong info!
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#13 Postby Agua » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:38 am

GulfBreezer wrote:Check Wunderground...................bad initialization! Wrong info!


Yeah, looks like they've got plots from some other storm up there.
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#14 Postby NewOrleans » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:38 am

A GREAT website, that was given out by another local met on FOX channel 9.

http://www.crownweather.com
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#15 Postby jes » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:38 am

That's where Fredrick came in -- also a strong Cat 3. We lost millions (it seemed) of trees, but our homes withstood the cane even though we were on the East side.
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#16 Postby MSRobi911 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 8:57 am

Agua wrote:
GulfBreezer wrote:Check Wunderground...................bad initialization! Wrong info!


Yeah, looks like they've got plots from some other storm up there.


I saw that too, but was just went back to show my husban and voile .... they have all changed and the GFDL is there now and they are all in MS/AL

Mary
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#17 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:08 am

Regardless of where the model plots are, the fact remains there are alot of us under a Hurricane Warning. Anytime you are under a warning you should make preps for a landfalling hurricane whether it is projected to make landfall in your neck of the woods or not. Ivan should be a perfect example and also Charley.

For those on the MS Gulf Coast, Georges is another example.
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#18 Postby bfez1 » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:11 am

Lindaloo wrote:Regardless of where the model plots are, the fact remains there are alot of us under a Hurricane Warning. Anytime you are under a warning you should make preps for a landfalling hurricane whether it is projected to make landfall in your neck of the woods or not. Ivan should be a perfect example and also Charley.

For those on the MS Gulf Coast, Georges is another example.


Are you ready to "hunker" down, Linda???
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#19 Postby Lindaloo » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:13 am

Girl, I have been ready since Tuesday. :D I am just waiting to make my exit North.
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#20 Postby otowntiger » Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:22 am

HollynLA wrote:
Not good at all for NO, and not good for us here either if landfall is on the Ms coast. Not good for anyone


I agree, no matter where it goes at this point, Mobile is gonna get hammered either way.


Hammered is a little strong at this point. Dennis is a relatively small storm right now, and is not really intensifying. If he just maintains his strength which is all I think he will do, and hit say, N.O., Mobile wouldn't exactly get "hammered". Even less so if he hits somewhere to the east of Mobile. Just look at Ivan last year. He hit just to the east of Mobile and I heard of no damage to speak of there, at least not compared to Pensacola and points east.
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