Anyone see the 12z NAM?

gkrangers · #1 Postby **gkrangers** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:29 am

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

:lol:

#2 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:30 am

Is that some kind of freaking joke? Is it broken?

goodlife · #3 Postby **goodlife** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:30 am

I don't get it...why are you laughing?

wxwonder12 · #4 Postby **wxwonder12** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:32 am

Stratusxpeye · #5 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:33 am

What the???? What is that. Can it have that bad of error? Thats like making the hurricane dissapaite then reform just before landfall 300 miles west or more of where it is.

BonesXL · #6 Postby **BonesXL** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:33 am

That has it going thru the extreme west tip of cuba...Huh...I doubt it

#7 Postby **Downdraft** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:34 am

A joke? Broken? Not hardly.

#8 Postby **LAwxrgal** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:35 am

That's a bad run. I don't see that verifying at all.

The storm is already about to make landfall in west central Cuba, not the western tip.

wxcrazytwo · #9 Postby **wxcrazytwo** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:35 am

Downdraft wrote:A joke? Broken? Not hardly.

dude, Dennis is over the easter portion. There is no way it will go that extreme to the left.

tw861 · #10 Postby **tw861** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:36 am

The NAM tends not to be very good in the deeper tropics because that is outside it's domain. However the closer in you get the better it does. That being said Dennis in now inside its domain and it was initialized pretty well so is it a laugher or not, to early to tell.

#11 Postby **drudd1** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:38 am

Am I reading it wrong, or would Dennis have to fall apart and reform, not to mention head almost due west and clip the western end of Cuba, to verify that model?

#12 Postby **LSU2001** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:38 am

maybe way off but again more west trend in models????
TIm

gkrangers · #13 Postby **gkrangers** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:39 am

Its just a terrible run. The NAM did ok yesterday, but this run is bunk.

#14 Postby **loon** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:41 am

Bad run or not, the 11am discussion was justified using the NAM, amongst others, so should it make another such run, you could hardly discredit it...however I would agree this run is pretty weird...

cheers,
loon

zoeyann · #15 Postby **zoeyann** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:41 am

maybe its been smoking crack with the UKMET

Stratusxpeye · #16 Postby **Stratusxpeye** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:42 am

Yup. MNy opinion it needs to lay off w/e its doing. Its already made landfall in cuba. No way its even possible to verify that track.

gkrangers · #17 Postby **gkrangers** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:45 am

loon wrote:Bad run or not, the 11am discussion was justified using the NAM, amongst others, so should it make another such run, you could hardly discredit it...however I would agree this run is pretty weird...

cheers,
loon

Cuz the NAM wasn't cracked out when they made the discussion. This run is to be discredited..

gkrangers · #18 Postby **gkrangers** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:47 am

zoeyann wrote:maybe its been smoking crack with the UKMET

UKMET has done fine..been consistent and moved slightly east toward the LA/MS border last run.

jabber · #19 Postby **jabber** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:47 am

Looks like garbage to me

#20 Postby **PurdueWx80** » Fri Jul 08, 2005 11:47 am

The NAM was discussed because of it's superior handling of the ridge and especially the upper low/wave over Texas.

Dennis has not made landfall yet, the eye has to cross the coast and right now the eyewall is hugging it.

Anyone see the 12z NAM?

Anyone see the 12z NAM?

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