NHC Track Forecast Error

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MGC
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NHC Track Forecast Error

#1 Postby MGC » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:18 pm

24 hour NHC track forecast error:

On 7/05/05 at 21Z Dennis was located near 14.2N 68.3W
the 7/06/06 18Z forecast position was 17.0N 73.4W
actual 7/06/06 was 16.0N 72.5W

Dennis is moving along to the left of NHC forecast position. Ivan tracked left of NHC forecast positions for much of its track through the Caribbean. Does this mean Dennis will? No, however Dennis is following a similar track error........MGC
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reeef
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#2 Postby reeef » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:21 pm

i think dennis is going to hit vermont.
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loon
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#3 Postby loon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:22 pm

MGC, I've been say this most of the day, looks like, so far anyway, he's been on the bottom part of the cone...will probably change, but reviewing past plot positions throughout the day, this was indeed the case.
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sweetpea
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#4 Postby sweetpea » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:23 pm

reeef wrote:i think dennis is going to hit vermont.



:roflmao: :roflmao:
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#5 Postby Swimdude » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:25 pm

reeef wrote:i think dennis is going to hit vermont.


Heh you're funny. :roll:

Better put that forecast disclaimer so people don't believe you! =D
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#6 Postby HurryKane » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:53 pm

reeef wrote:i think dennis is going to hit vermont.


*snicker*
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