J.B. has an interesting Read

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amawea
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J.B. has an interesting Read

#1 Postby amawea » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:07 pm

Joe Bastardi has an interesting read in regards to the track, strength, and why he believes what he's thinking about Dennis. He's basically saying that Cindy and Dennis are pumping heat into the ridge which he believes will keep Dennis on a Cameron, La to mouth of the Ms. track. I believe all can read his post from the regular accuweather site at this time. He does have some interestings thoughts on this. He also stated that he is more concerned about S.E. Texas than Florida right now.
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#2 Postby Valkhorn » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:09 pm

He also said that Cindy before it was TD3 would go into TX or LA, which in fact it was on the border between LA and MS.

I frankly think Dennis will be just a little further west, but at a more WNW to NW angle than Cindy.

But we'll see.
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#3 Postby Radar » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:11 pm

Well, if JB is right then New Orlean's worst nightmare is about to come true, it would be bad news for my area as well. I think the track will trend West.. I'm sticking with Central Louisiana for landfall for now!
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Re: J.B. has an interesting Read

#4 Postby Dean4Storms » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:12 pm

amawea wrote:Joe Bastardi has an interesting read in regards to the track, strength, and why he believes what he's thinking about Dennis. He's basically saying that Cindy and Dennis are pumping heat into the ridge which he believes will keep Dennis on a Cameron, La to mouth of the Ms. track. I believe all can read his post from the regular accuweather site at this time. He does have some interestings thoughts on this. He also stated that he is more concerned about S.E. Texas than Florida right now.
Amawea


Isn't Corpus Christie area considered SE TX? If he thinks Dennis is headed that far south he needs to lay off the meteorological steroids.
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Re: J.B. has an interesting Read

#5 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:14 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
amawea wrote:Joe Bastardi has an interesting read in regards to the track, strength, and why he believes what he's thinking about Dennis. He's basically saying that Cindy and Dennis are pumping heat into the ridge which he believes will keep Dennis on a Cameron, La to mouth of the Ms. track. I believe all can read his post from the regular accuweather site at this time. He does have some interestings thoughts on this. He also stated that he is more concerned about S.E. Texas than Florida right now.
Amawea


Isn't Corpus Christie area considered SE TX? If he thinks Dennis is headed that far south he needs to lay off the meteorological steroids.



Remember Gilbert 1988. It was forecasted to turn northwestward like this but. But instead it bombed into one of the most powerful storms in histroy. It kepted moving west.
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#6 Postby deltadog03 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:14 pm

wooooahhh....calm down...we don't know...it could go from panhandle of fl to brownsville....its gonna depend on the ridge...and yes that can happen where heat strngths the ridge
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Re: J.B. has an interesting Read

#7 Postby Stratosphere747 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:14 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
amawea wrote:Joe Bastardi has an interesting read in regards to the track, strength, and why he believes what he's thinking about Dennis. He's basically saying that Cindy and Dennis are pumping heat into the ridge which he believes will keep Dennis on a Cameron, La to mouth of the Ms. track. I believe all can read his post from the regular accuweather site at this time. He does have some interestings thoughts on this. He also stated that he is more concerned about S.E. Texas than Florida right now.
Amawea


Isn't Corpus Christie area considered SE TX? If he thinks Dennis is headed that far south he needs to lay off the meteorological steroids.


S.E. Texas in these parts is considered Beaumont/Pt Arthur..
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#8 Postby reeef » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:15 pm

se=houston and east of that
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Re: J.B. has an interesting Read

#9 Postby loon » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:15 pm

Dean4Storms wrote:
amawea wrote:Joe Bastardi has an interesting read in regards to the track, strength, and why he believes what he's thinking about Dennis. He's basically saying that Cindy and Dennis are pumping heat into the ridge which he believes will keep Dennis on a Cameron, La to mouth of the Ms. track. I believe all can read his post from the regular accuweather site at this time. He does have some interestings thoughts on this. He also stated that he is more concerned about S.E. Texas than Florida right now.
Amawea


Isn't Corpus Christie area considered SE TX? If he thinks Dennis is headed that far south he needs to lay off the meteorological steroids.


Did he mention Corpus? Thats crazy. SE TX is normally San Luis Pass and points north to LA. Corpus is quite a ways south
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Re: J.B. has an interesting Read

#10 Postby KLP124 » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:17 pm

[quote=Isn't Corpus Christie area considered SE TX? If he thinks Dennis is headed that far south he needs to lay off the meteorological steroids.[/quote]

Corpus is South Texas. Southeast Texas generally refers to the portion between Houston and the Texas-Louisiana border.
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#11 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:17 pm

Corpus is not considered Southeast Texas. I consider it the Central/South Texas coast.
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#12 Postby amawea » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:21 pm

He did not mention Corpus Christi, and no that is not S.E. Tx. Corpus is way down the coast like 175 miles. More miles than what separates The Florida pan handle from the Louisiana border. Get a map. Corpus is about half way from Houston to Brownsville. Again, he did not mention Corpus Christi.

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#13 Postby Steve » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:26 pm

>>He also said that Cindy before it was TD3 would go into TX or LA, which in fact it was on the border between LA and MS.

Actually it went into southern Lafourche Parish which is 5 Parishes (counties) over from Mississippi if you go by Gulf-front Parishes - Lafourche, Jefferson, Plaquemines, St. Bernard, St. Tammany, Hancock Co. MS. If you outlined or could walk those shores, it would probably be pretty doggone far from the LA/MS border to Grand Isle/Leeville/Fourchon.

Where he had the storm was SW LA and was east of some of the earlier forecasts. However, he was still too far west. Nonetheless, Cindy didn't make landfall anywhere near the LA/MS border until she went in the second time in Hancock Co..

Steve
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#14 Postby HouTXmetro » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:29 pm

Valkhorn wrote:He also said that Cindy before it was TD3 would go into TX or LA, which in fact it was on the border between LA and MS.

I frankly think Dennis will be just a little further west, but at a more WNW to NW angle than Cindy.

But we'll see.


The NHC was way off also before the center relocated.
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#15 Postby Steve » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:32 pm

amawea,

You got a link? I went to their home page (ugh, forgot to turn back on my popup blocker) and it didn't have a free link to the column. Did I miss something?

Steve
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#16 Postby Air Force Met » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:33 pm

Valkhorn wrote:He also said that Cindy before it was TD3 would go into TX or LA, which in fact it was on the border between LA and MS.

I frankly think Dennis will be just a little further west, but at a more WNW to NW angle than Cindy.

But we'll see.


From Sunday....
"So to me, it's a landfall between Galveston and the mouth of the Mississippi"

That's not bad... the NHC had the same placement initially...
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#17 Postby reeef » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:36 pm

correct me if im wrong but isnt new orleans directly on sea level.. so this storm would be very harsh for them
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#18 Postby Guest » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:37 pm

reeef wrote:correct me if im wrong but isnt new orleans directly on sea level.. so this storm would be very harsh for them


BELOW SEA LEVEL!
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#19 Postby gboudx » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:40 pm

reeef wrote:correct me if im wrong but isnt new orleans directly on sea level.. so this storm would be very harsh for them


below and protected by a series of locks and levees. a tidal surge that crests those levees is new orleans nightmare. think of a bowl being filled with water.
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#20 Postby Swimdude » Wed Jul 06, 2005 9:40 pm

reeef wrote:correct me if im wrong but isnt new orleans directly on sea level.. so this storm would be very harsh for them


Well, you asked for correcting - so here it is. A large part of New Orleans is BELOW sea level. However, you are correct, this would be very bad. Especially if the storm entered from Lake Ponchartrain, known as New Orleans' "perfect storm." It could literally put the city underwater.
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