NJN WEATHER CENTER
MON JULY 4TH 2005
405 PM ET
Tropical Depression #3 continues to churn up the waters this afternoon as she is apparently re-emerging in the extreme southern GOM. Would be Cindy currently has winds around 35 mph.
TD 3 has been interacting with the Yucatan for the past 1/2 a day or so but appears to be ready to reorganize over the waters. Most recent infared imagery showed a lot of yellows but no reds yet in Cindy's storms, but the storms should begin to refire now that Cindy is re-emerging over the Gulf.
I am still not ready to forecast Cindy as a hurricane. She has had a disorganized start to her life and would have to organize over the warm Gulf waters and possibly undergo a rapid intensification process in order for me to consider a hurricane a possibility.
Current forecasts from the NHC have Cindy's official landfall being in extreme Western Louisiana. I will go a bit to the right of that and say Central Louisiana but not quite the New Orleans area.
The reason for the slight disagreeance with the NHC is as Cindy begins to get pulled northward, she may begin to become affected by the winds aloft which may pull her a little bit to the right.
Cindy should still be watched by everyone on the Gulf coast because her course is still not set in stone. We'll have a better idea possibly in the next 2-3 days or so.
Here's my experimental 5 day outlook on TD 3/Cindy:
Tonight: Beginning her journey through the GOM. Moving NW/WNW. Max Winds: 40 mph
Tuesday: Still moving NW. Passing through the Western Gulf. Max Winds: 45 mph
Wednesday: Possibility of Texas or Louisiana watches/warnings. Max Winds: 55 mph
Thursday: Making landfall in Central LA. Max Winds: 65 mph
Friday: Well inland over Mississippi. Max Winds: 35 mph
DISCLAIMER:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
AS always... comments welcomed and appreciated
