Tropical Storm Calvin Intermediate Advisory Number 2a
Statement as of 11:00 PM PDT on June 26, 2005
...Tropical Storm Calvin develops south-southeast of Acapulco...
...Heavy rainfall affecting the Mexican coast...
a tropical storm watch remains in effect from Lagunas de chacahua
westward to Lazaro Cardenas. A tropical storm watch means that
tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area...
generally within 36 hours.
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.
At 11 PM PDT...0600z...the center of Tropical Storm Calvin was
estimated to be near latitude 14.3 north...longitude 98.1 west or
about 145 miles...235 km...south of punto maldonado Mexico and
about 205 miles...325 km...south-southeast of Acapulco Mexico.
Calvin has been moving erratically...but generally toward the
north-northwest near 3 mph... 6 km/hr. A gradual turn to the
northwest...on a course roughly parallel to the coastline...is
expected during the next 12 hours or so.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph... 65 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next
24 hours.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb...29.59 inches.
Total rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches...with isolated
higher amounts over mountainous terrain...are expected within the
watch area.
Repeating the 11 PM PDT position...14.3 N... 98.1 W. Movement
toward...north-northwest near 3 mph. Maximum sustained
winds... 40 mph. Minimum central pressure...1002 mb.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center
at 2 am PDT.
Forecaster Stewart
Advisorys are being posted in one thread to not have different threads about advisorys only and model plots.
4. Try and look for a thread that already exists on a subject before starting a new one. Duplicate threads will get locked and we may not have time to PM you at the height of the season.
Breaking News = TROPICAL STORM CALVIN
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Derek Ortt
even though I put in an update on nwhhc calling this a TS (primarily for consistency), this was a horrible upgrade, IMO.
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds14.png
no true center, and the wind readings are significantly less than 12 hours ago. Then again, wedo have the most aggressive forecaster who does seem to upgrade more than others (errs on the side of caution)
http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBds14.png
no true center, and the wind readings are significantly less than 12 hours ago. Then again, wedo have the most aggressive forecaster who does seem to upgrade more than others (errs on the side of caution)
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
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