0Z GFS & CMC - 94L may develop

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dhweather
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0Z GFS & CMC - 94L may develop

#1 Postby dhweather » Thu Jun 23, 2005 5:32 am

The CMC is more aggressive with strength of the low, bot both have an
impact to the Carolinas this weekend. Worth watching, especially if other models
pick this up today.


CMC animation:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

GFS animation:
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation
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Steve
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#2 Postby Steve » Thu Jun 23, 2005 9:52 am

There are still convective feedback issues, but I wouldn't say the rogue/NE'er type situation is out of the question nor would I fully discount the possibility of a surface low. Some of the wave energy is popping further north around the MLL/ULL off SW FL. The transfer of heat is piling up some energy that way. However, the bulk of the energy is still in the Caribbean moving W-WNW. That's where I'd be looking for anything significant. The GFS and CMC are putting the majority of their proverbial eggs into one basket when there appear to be two :).

Steve
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