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senorpepr
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GFDL news...

#1 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 14, 2005 1:48 am

For what it's worth...

Code: Select all

NCEP COUPLED GFDL HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST    92L

INITIAL TIME   0Z JUN 14

DISCLAIMER ...  THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE.  IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.  PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


FORECAST STORM POSITION

HOUR        LATITUDE        LONGITUDE        HEADING/SPEED(KT)

   0            14.3             76.2           290./ 2.9

STORM DISSIPATED AT   0 HRS AT THE ABOVE PSN.
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#2 Postby george_r_1961 » Tue Jun 14, 2005 1:55 am

Its looking alot more sheared this morning than it did even 12 hours ago. Im not so sure about tropical development now.
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#3 Postby air360 » Tue Jun 14, 2005 1:57 am

so is this saying the storm basically is gone? Seems so fast as considering a few hours ago people were saying how it could still form...i know even then it was all speculation...but it seems as this was really really fast for it to just ...go away....
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#4 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jun 14, 2005 1:58 am

I think it has better shape then 12 hours ago. With a low trying to wrap the convection around it near 14.9/76. We will see. This storm is a fighter...A few hours ago I almost given up on it my self.
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#5 Postby air360 » Tue Jun 14, 2005 2:01 am

yes i agree...it doesnt seem to have as much convection going on and storms fireing...but at the same time, like you said, it seems to be trying to wrap itself up. I was just confused by the first msg...reading that it seemed like they were saying its a done deal forget about it
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#6 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jun 14, 2005 2:16 am

But this trough is doing everything in its power to kill it :x
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#7 Postby mobilebay » Tue Jun 14, 2005 2:47 am

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:But this trough is doing everything in its power to kill it :x

Yes. I noticed that the shear is getting quiet brutal. :)
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#8 Postby senorpepr » Tue Jun 14, 2005 3:08 am

The rest of NHC's model suite has not been posted for 06Z...........
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#9 Postby mobilebay » Tue Jun 14, 2005 3:16 am

senorpepr wrote:The rest of NHC's model suite has not been posted for 06Z...........

hey Pepr, they may not have ran the 06Z run. That GFDL was the 0Z run. It is not looking that impressive to me at the moment.
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#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Tue Jun 14, 2005 3:23 am

The ULL north of the Islands has moved to 28 north/80 west. In has 25 to 30 knot shear over our system. Also a cut off jet max/ULL has formed just to the west of our system. I think this system should kick off to the northeast over the next 6 to 12 hours. I don't think this has that much of a chance of development any more. RIP 92L...


We need him to help this year to be like 1995. He lets us down.
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