4PM Forecast 5; faster and east a little 55KTS; --UNOFFICIAL

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

4PM Forecast 5; faster and east a little 55KTS; --UNOFFICIAL

#1 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:19 pm

Quote Storm2K:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Quote Nencweather.com:
Although these forecasts appear statistically reliable (see below link), always first consult and consider official products released by the National Hurricane Center. This forecast is not associated with any other professional or non-professional source of information except nencweather.com.

Verifications may be found here:
http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... index.html

4PM Forecast 5:

http://www.nencweather.com/tropicalweat ... rlene.html

I'm a little ticked that this has gotten up to 60kts...as if I can do anything about it; I'm really curious as to where it may have been found; again the center of circulation is becoming displaced from convection a bit, so I'm not doing much with the intensity on this one, but I have moved it over to the east. For the record, these points carry it inland in AL, but exact point of landfall isn't that important. I'm starting at 55kts.
Last edited by ncweatherwizard on Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:21 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

Re: 4PM Forecast 5; faster and east a little 60KTS; --UNOFFI

#2 Postby dwg71 » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:21 pm

ncweatherwizard wrote: For the record, these points carry it inland in AL, but exact point of landfall isn't that important.


Unless you post on this board....
0 likes   

ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

#3 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:24 pm

Well, I'm referring to the majority of messy weather (and highest winds) being found to the east of the center, where the storm actually makes landfall will probably not be where the brunt of the storm will be felt.
0 likes   

ncweatherwizard
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 1243
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 9:45 am
Location: Ft. Collins, CO

#4 Postby ncweatherwizard » Fri Jun 10, 2005 3:28 pm

I don't know...I feel like I may have overshot the intensity by bringing up to 60kts, but I'll see what things feel like at 10pm. I might even have to nudge it back down to 50kts, because it's not looking as good as it did earlier (shear).
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Dean_175, Wein and 507 guests